Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Krylia Sovetov 2-2 FC Krasnodar.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Krylia Sovetov, 29% draw, 36% FC Krasnodar — fair odds of 2.86, 3.45 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Krasnodar at 36% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar
Krylia Sovetov
- D3-3away to Akhmat29 August 2026
- W3-0away to Akron23 August 2026
FC Krasnodar
- W1-0FC Rostov29 August 2026
- W1-0away to Dinamo Makhachkala23 August 2026
- W1-0Akhmat15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Krylia Sovetov | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 11 |
| 1 | FC Krasnodar | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar
- 30 November 2025FC Krasnodar 5–0 Krylia SovetovPremier League
- 17 September 2025Krylia Sovetov 1–2 FC KrasnodarCup
- 24 August 2025Krylia Sovetov 0–6 FC KrasnodarPremier League
- 29 July 2025FC Krasnodar 1–2 Krylia SovetovCup
- 1 March 2025FC Krasnodar 1–1 Krylia SovetovPremier League
- 28 October 2024Krylia Sovetov 1–2 FC KrasnodarPremier League
Leading scorers: Krylia Sovetov and FC Krasnodar
Krylia Sovetov
- I. Oleynikov3 goals2 assists
FC Krasnodar
- N. Krivtsov3 goals1 assists
- Jubal3 goals
- Christian2 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.