Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Krylia Sovetov 2-2 FC Krasnodar.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Krylia Sovetov, 29% draw, 36% FC Krasnodar — fair odds of 2.86, 3.45 and 2.78.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
FC Krasnodar at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar
Line-ups
- 30S. PesjakovG
- 15N. RasskazovD
- 23N. ChernovD
- 47S. BozhinD
- 4Y. GorshkovD
- 22Fernando CostanzaM
- 17I. ChesnokovM
- 10M. KramaricM
- 8M. VityugovM
- 2K. PecheninM
- 19I. OleynikovF
- 80N. KokarevG
- 39E. FrolovG
- 72D. FernandezD
- 5D. OrozD
- 18I. LepskiiD
- 3T. GaldamesD
- 11A. RahmanovicM
- 20K. StolbovM
- 77D. MakarovM
- 1S. AgkatsevG
- 40I. VakhaniaD
- 3V. TormenaD
- 5Jubal JuniorD
- 15L. OlazaD
- 53A. ChernikovM
- 8Douglas AugustoM
- 10D. VorobyevM
- 18ChristianM
- 11Joao BatxiM
- 9J. CordobaF
- 16A. KoryakinG
- 98S. PetrovD
- 17V. PaltsevD
- 21M. OzdoevM
- 47D. UtkinM
- 6K. LeniniM
- 23J. BoselliF
Form going into Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar
Krylia Sovetov
All competitions we cover
- D3-3away to Akhmat29 August 2026
- W3-0away to Akron23 August 2026
- L1-4Dinamo Makhachkala16 August 2026
- L0-2Baltika8 August 2026
FC Krasnodar
All competitions we cover
- W1-0FC Rostov29 August 2026
- W1-0away to Dinamo Makhachkala23 August 2026
- W1-0Akhmat15 August 2026
- W2-1away to Spartak Moscow9 August 2026
What these results say
- Krylia Sovetov failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Krylia Sovetov scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Krylia Sovetov conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC Krasnodar won every one of these 4 matches.
- FC Krasnodar scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- FC Krasnodar kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Russia Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Krylia Sovetov | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 18 |
| 4 | FC Krasnodar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 18 | +7 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Krylia Sovetov vs FC Krasnodar
- 30 November 2025FC Krasnodar 5–0 Krylia SovetovPremier League
- 17 September 2025Krylia Sovetov 1–2 FC KrasnodarCup
- 24 August 2025Krylia Sovetov 0–6 FC KrasnodarPremier League
- 29 July 2025FC Krasnodar 1–2 Krylia SovetovCup
- 1 March 2025FC Krasnodar 1–1 Krylia SovetovPremier League
- 28 October 2024Krylia Sovetov 1–2 FC KrasnodarPremier League
Leading scorers: Krylia Sovetov and FC Krasnodar
Krylia Sovetov
GoalsAssists
- A. Rahmanović50
FC Krasnodar
GoalsAssists
- J. Córdoba61
- Batxi53
- Christian34
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Krylia Sovetov and FC Krasnodar drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Krasnodar at 36% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: J. Cordoba 3' for FC Krasnodar, Joao Batxi 17' for FC Krasnodar, A. Rahmanovic 55' for Krylia Sovetov, A. Rahmanovic 79' for Krylia Sovetov.