Sandefjord vs Start Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Sandefjord 3-0 Start.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Sandefjord, 30% draw, 33% Start — fair odds of 2.70, 3.33 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Sandefjord at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sandefjord vs Start
Line-ups
- 30E. HadayaG
- 4F. PedersenD
- 13R. HoltenD
- 44X. LambrixD
- 5G. HøjbjergD
- 8T. BørkeeietM
- 7E. PatoulidisM
- 10E. GigovićM
- 6S. MørkM
- 19Bendik BerntsenM
- 9O. KapskarmoF
- 37J. VesterM
- 14E. PettersenM
- 16H. KrogelienD
- 21J. SwiftM
- 24S. MathisenF
- 2M. HellanD
- 1A. GrønnebergG
- 18M. SauerM
- 3V. EgeliD
- 26M. SjøengG
- 29E. ReitanD
- 5S. GranheimD
- 6J. NorheimD
- 3A. UjkaniD
- 27O. ToureD
- 10S. MvouéM
- 23E. SegbergM
- 18M. UglandM
- 20H. LorentzenF
- 9N. KoutsakosF
- 11E. SchulzeM
- 24S. Strand-KolbjørnsenG
- 2F. PålerudD
- 35S. SamuyiwaM
- 4J. MeyerD
- 8N. JojićF
- 36Mathias Monan DovlandM
- 17J. CorneliusF
- 12D. DashaevD
Form going into Sandefjord vs Start
Sandefjord
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to Bodo/Glimt14 September 2026
- D1-1Viking4 September 2026
- D0-0Brann30 August 2026
- W2-1away to Sarpsborg 08 FF16 August 2026
- L0-1KFUM Oslo7 August 2026
Start
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Brann13 September 2026
- L0-2away to Aalesund4 September 2026
- W4-1KFUM Oslo30 August 2026
- L0-1Fredrikstad8 August 2026
- L0-3Viking1 August 2026
What these results say
- Sandefjord failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Sandefjord conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Start conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sandefjord | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 28 |
| 16 | Start | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 27 | 59 | -32 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sandefjord vs Start
- 8 March 2026Sandefjord 3–2 StartFriendlies Clubs
- 5 March 2023Start 1–0 SandefjordFriendlies Clubs
- 2 May 2021Start 1–1 SandefjordFriendlies Clubs
- 24 October 2020Start 0–1 SandefjordEliteserien
- 21 June 2020Sandefjord 2–2 StartEliteserien
Leading scorers: Sandefjord and Start
Sandefjord
GoalsAssists
- E. Patoulidis83
Start
No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 27 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sandefjord beat Start 3–0. The model had made a win for Sandefjord its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Ervin Gigovic 64' for Sandefjord, Edvard Sundbö Pettersen 72' for Sandefjord, Mathias Sauer 80' for Sandefjord. Sent off: Ousmane Diallo Toure (Start) 56'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.