23 August 2026, 17:45 UTC

Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes La Plata Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Eva Peron, Junin
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Sarmiento Junin 2-0 Estudiantes La Plata.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% Sarmiento Junin, 20% draw, 45% Estudiantes La Plata — fair odds of 2.86, 5.00 and 2.22. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Estudiantes La Plata at 45% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes La Plata

Sarmiento Junin

  • W2-0Huracan16 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Atletico Tucuman8 August 2026
  • W2-1Independiente Rivadavia3 August 2026
  • L2-3away to Banfield28 July 2026
  • L2-3Argentinos Juniors23 July 2026

Estudiantes La Plata

  • W4-0Gimnasia La Plata15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes La Plata

  • 20 February 2026Estudiantes La Plata 1–0 Sarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 13 June 2024Sarmiento Junin 2–0 Estudiantes La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 9 March 2024Sarmiento Junin 3–1 Estudiantes La PlataCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 23 October 2023Estudiantes La Plata 2–1 Sarmiento JuninCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 25 February 2023Estudiantes La Plata 1–1 Sarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 15 June 2022Estudiantes La Plata 2–1 Sarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina

Leading scorers: Sarmiento Junin and Estudiantes La Plata

Sarmiento Junin

  • J. Marabel12 goals4 assists

Estudiantes La Plata

No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.