23 August 2026, 10:00 UTC

Akron vs Krylia Sovetov Premier League prediction & result

Samara Arena, Samara
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Akron 0-3 Krylia Sovetov.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Akron, 30% draw, 31% Krylia Sovetov — fair odds of 2.56, 3.33 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Akron at 39% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Akron0%Draw1%Krylia Sovetov99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Roberto Fernández
3'
19'
⚽N. Chernovassist: Y. Gorshkov
36'
Maksim Vityugov
41'
🔁Fernando Costanzaout: A. Rahmanovic
Kristijan Bistrović
43'
54'
Islam Chesnokov
🔁K. Bistrovicout: K. Khosonov
57'
🔁A. Dmitrievout: Dudu
57'
🔁K. Maradishviliout: N. Bazilevskiy
57'
64'
🔁I. Chesnokovout: D. Oroz
64'
🔁M. Vityugovout: K. Stolbov
64'
🔁M. Kramaricout: V. Shitov
73'
Nikita Chernov
75'
⚽D. Oroz
Joao Escoval
78'
81'
🔁I. Oleynikovout: K. Mukailov
Dudu
85'
Nikita Bazilevskiy
90+1'
90'
⚽V. Shitovassist: Y. Gorshkov

Match stats — Akron vs Krylia Sovetov

62%Possession38%
15Shots12
5On target9
3Corners4

Line-ups

Akron 4-1-4-1
  • 88V. GudievG
  • 2Y. RochaD
  • 13V. BardybakhinD
  • 26R. EscovalD
  • 21R. FernandezD
  • 8K. BistrovicM
  • 69A. DmitrievM
  • 22K. MaradishviliM
  • 15S. LoncarM
  • 10K. Arevalo
  • 7BenchimolF
Substitutes
  • 32I. TerekhovskyG
  • 98R. VolochayG
  • 3Paulo VitorD
  • 89D. PopenkovM
  • 72M. KhametovD
  • 80K. KhosonovM
  • 11DuduF
  • 67N. PlatonM
  • 81N. BazilevskiyM
Coach: Srdjan Blagojevic
Krylia Sovetov 4-2-3-1
  • 30S. PesjakovG
  • 15N. RasskazovD
  • 23N. ChernovD
  • 47S. BozhinD
  • 4Y. GorshkovD
  • 8M. VityugovM
  • 22Fernando CostanzaM
  • 17I. ChesnokovM
  • 19I. OleynikovM
  • 2K. PecheninM
  • 10M. KramaricF
Substitutes
  • 80N. KokarevG
  • 39E. FrolovG
  • 72D. FernandezD
  • 5D. OrozD
  • 18I. LepskiiD
  • 3T. GaldamesD
  • 11A. RahmanovicM
  • 20K. StolbovM
  • 26J. MarinM
Coach: Sergey Bulatov

Form going into Akron vs Krylia Sovetov

Akron

  • D3-3away to Rodina Moskva15 August 2026

Krylia Sovetov

  • L1-4Dinamo Makhachkala16 August 2026
  • L0-2Baltika8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Akron8053918-95
9Krylia Sovetov92521314-111

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Akron vs Krylia Sovetov

  • 23 August 2026Akron 0–3 Krylia SovetovPremier League
  • 18 July 2026Akron 2–1 Krylia SovetovFriendlies Clubs
  • 17 May 2026Krylia Sovetov 4–1 AkronPremier League
  • 19 July 2025Akron 1–1 Krylia SovetovPremier League
  • 9 March 2025Krylia Sovetov 0–2 AkronPremier League
  • 3 November 2024Akron 2–0 Krylia SovetovPremier League

Leading scorers: Akron and Krylia Sovetov

Akron

  • Gilson Benchimol3 goals2 assists

Krylia Sovetov

  • I. Oleynikov3 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.