IFK Goteborg vs IF Elfsborg Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: IFK Goteborg 1-1 IF Elfsborg.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% IFK Goteborg, 23% draw, 41% IF Elfsborg — fair odds of 2.78, 4.35 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts IF Elfsborg at 41% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — IFK Goteborg vs IF Elfsborg
Line-ups
- 12Viktor AnderssonG
- 18Felix ErikssonD
- 3August ErlingmarkD
- 6Hjörtur HermannssonD
- 22Noah TolfD
- 29Adam Bergmark WibergM
- 15David KruseM
- 24Oliver MånssonM
- 14Tobias HeintzM
- 8Sam LarssonF
- 7Sebastian ClemmensenF
- 27Alfons BorénF
- 28Issaka SeiduD
- 25Elis BishesariG
- 5Jonas BagerD
- 26Emil FasthM
- 16Filip OttossonM
- 21Leo RadakovicM
- 9Max FengerF
- 30Tiago CoimbraF
- 31Isak PetterssonG
- 16Alexander JensenD
- 6Rasmus WikströmD
- 4Thomas IsherwoodD
- 23Niklas HultD
- 5Sven Ossian NordvallM
- 10Simon OlssonM
- 29Momoh Ibrahim KamaraM
- 19Julius BeckM
- 9Arbër ZeneliM
- 21Leo ÖstmanF
- 15Simon HedlundM
- 25Ari SigurpálssonF
- 2Rufai MohammedD
- 24Frederik IhlerF
- 12Theo SanderG
- 1Tim ErlandssonG
- 28Frode AronssonD
- 22Dion KrasniqiF
- 11Taylor SilverholtF
Form going into IFK Goteborg vs IF Elfsborg
IFK Goteborg
- L0-3away to Degerfors IF16 August 2026
IF Elfsborg
- W3-0Vasteras SK FK14 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | IFK Goteborg | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
| 4 | IF Elfsborg | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | +8 | 34 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: IFK Goteborg vs IF Elfsborg
- 23 August 2026IFK Goteborg 1–1 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
- 6 April 2026IF Elfsborg 2–0 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
- 28 July 2025IF Elfsborg 4–3 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
- 12 July 2025IFK Goteborg 1–2 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
- 25 August 2024IF Elfsborg 3–1 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
- 1 June 2024IFK Goteborg 1–0 IF ElfsborgAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: IFK Goteborg and IF Elfsborg
IFK Goteborg
- S. Larsson7 goals2 assists
- T. Heintz6 goals5 assists
IF Elfsborg
- L. Ãstman6 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.