Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland Superliga prediction & result
Final score: Sonderjyske 0-3 FC Nordsjaelland.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% Sonderjyske, 23% draw, 47% FC Nordsjaelland — fair odds of 3.33, 4.35 and 2.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Nordsjaelland at 47% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Nicolai FløG
- 12Maxime SoulasD
- 25Brynjar Ingi BjarnasonD
- 4Daníel GrétarssonD
- 3Alexander MunksgaardM
- 7Sefer EminiM
- 33Jacob ChristensenM
- 23Chidiebube DuruM
- 31Ismaïl SeydiF
- 8Mohamed Cherif HaidaraF
- 9Matthew HoppeF
- 13Dalton WilkinsD
- 17Anders HoegM
- 26Bubacarr TambedouF
- 30Gustav WagnerD
- 19Pachanga KristensenD
- 27Berkant BayrakG
- 22Andreas OggesenM
- 6Rasmus VinderslevM
- 20Tobias KlysnerD
- 13Andreas HansenG
- 15Stephen AcquahD
- 3Tobias SalquistD
- 4Noah MarkmannD
- 28Markus WalkerM
- 18Justin JanssenM
- 6Mark BrinkM
- 25Juho LähteenmäkiM
- 29Villum BerthelsenF
- 11Alexander LindF
- 17Levy NeneF
- 14Ibrahim AdelF
- 23Runar Robinsonn NorheimD
- 8Nicklas RøjkjærM
- 40Hjalte Boe RasmussenM
- 2Peter AnkersenD
- 22Carljohan ErikssonG
- 42Matej TukaD
- 37Lamine SadioM
- 10Prince Amoako JuniorF
Form going into Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland
Sonderjyske
- L2-3away to Brondby17 August 2026
FC Nordsjaelland
- W1-0FC St. Gallen20 August 2026
- W1-0Silkeborg16 August 2026
- W5-0Valur Reykjavik13 August 2026
- W2-0away to Valur Reykjavik6 August 2026
- W1-0Randers FC2 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 2 |
| 3 | FC Nordsjaelland | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland
- 23 August 2026Sonderjyske 0–3 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
- 17 May 2026Sonderjyske 1–4 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
- 22 March 2026FC Nordsjaelland 2–0 SonderjyskeSuperliga
- 8 February 2026FC Nordsjaelland 2–1 SonderjyskeSuperliga
- 3 August 2025Sonderjyske 3–2 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
- 23 February 2025FC Nordsjaelland 3–2 SonderjyskeSuperliga
Leading scorers: Sonderjyske and FC Nordsjaelland
Sonderjyske
- M. Haidara3 goals
FC Nordsjaelland
- H. Boe Rasmussen3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.