Sekhukhune United
vs
Siwelele
Premier Soccer League prediction
Our model says: Sekhukhune United 1–0 Siwelele
The model makes it 45% Sekhukhune United, 29% draw, 26% Siwelele — fair odds of 2.22, 3.45 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Sekhukhune United 1.40, Siwelele 0.92.
Both teams to score: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 41%, under 2.5: 59%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Sekhukhune United's rating is built from 39 South African Premier Soccer League matches and Siwelele's from 39, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 546 matches.
Key facts
- Sekhukhune United are 6th on 14 points from 9 games; Siwelele are 14th on 6 points from 9 games — Premier Soccer League.
- Sekhukhune United have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to Milford FC.
- Siwelele have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-3 defeat away to Marumo Gallants.
- Last 2 meetings: Siwelele 1 win to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 23 May 2026, ended Sekhukhune United 2–2 Siwelele.
More South African Premier Soccer League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Sekhukhune United vs Siwelele
Has the model earned this number?
Sekhukhune United at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Sekhukhune United vs Siwelele
Sekhukhune United
Premier Soccer League
- L0-1away to Milford FC31 October 2026
- W2-1Marumo Gallants17 October 2026
- W3-2away to Richards Bay19 September 2026
- D1-1away to Stellenbosch11 September 2026
- D0-0TS Galaxy5 September 2026
Siwelele
Premier Soccer League
- L2-3away to Marumo Gallants30 October 2026
- W1-0Polokwane City18 October 2026
- D1-1Golden Arrows13 September 2026
- L0-3away to Mamelodi Sundowns9 September 2026
- L2-3away to Kaizer Chiefs6 September 2026
What these results say
- Sekhukhune United conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Siwelele failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Siwelele scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Siwelele conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sekhukhune United | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 |
| 14 | Siwelele | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Sekhukhune United vs Siwelele
- 23 May 2026Sekhukhune United 2–2 SiwelelePremier Soccer League
- 31 October 2025Siwelele 1–0 Sekhukhune UnitedPremier Soccer League
Leading scorers: Sekhukhune United and Siwelele
Sekhukhune United
GoalsAssists
- E. Rammala21
- B. Muzeu21
Siwelele
No player in Premier Soccer League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Sekhukhune United the highest probability at 45%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.40 expected goals for Sekhukhune United against 0.92 for Siwelele. Sekhukhune United's attack/defence rating is 0.58/1.64 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.59/2 for Siwelele.
How the model reaches 45% for Sekhukhune United to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 35% for Sekhukhune United to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, the level of the two sides adds 1 point, Sekhukhune United's ratings add 1 point and Siwelele's ratings add 3 points, which lands on the published 45%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground35%
- Home advantage40%+5
- Both sides at this match's level41%+1
- Sekhukhune United's ratings42%+1
- Siwelele's ratings45%+3
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Sekhukhune United at home · Siwelele away
League matches only, Premier Soccer League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Premier Soccer League matches this season: Sekhukhune United 9, Siwelele 9.
Sekhukhune United score most often in the 16–30 minute window (3 goals); Siwelele have let in 2 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Sekhukhune United
- vs Amazulu5 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 33%
- at Mamelodi Sundowns15 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 17%
- vs Golden Arrows19 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 38%
- at Kruger United9 Jan · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 34%
Siwelele
- vs Durban City6 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 40%
- at Kruger United15 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 31%
- at Richards Bay20 Dec · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 35%
- vs Stellenbosch10 Jan · Premier Soccer Leaguewin 37%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.