Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Jazira Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1-3 Al-Jazira.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, 33% draw, 29% Al-Jazira — fair odds of 2.63, 3.03 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Jazira
Line-ups
- 22Hamad Al MeqebaaliG
- 31Kauan SantosD
- 3Igor GomesD
- 13RenanD
- 16RikelmeD
- 10F. CartabiaM
- 6S. EzatolahiM
- 88N. MaksimovićM
- 77Guilherme BalaM
- 20S. AzmounF
- 57Yuri CésarF
- 11Yahya Al GhassaniM
- 21Sultan AdilF
- 8Mohammad JumaM
- 19MateusãoF
- 33Matheus DonelliG
- 14D. GarcíaM
- 5E. IralaM
- 30Oumar KeitaM
- 24J. MarkeloF
- 1E. DestanoğluG
- 2IgorD
- 4Willyan RochaD
- 28R. TagirD
- 17Rúben CanedoD
- 80BrunoM
- 16Marcus MeloniM
- 8M. CoulibalyM
- 77MilsonM
- 10MalcomF
- 99Vinicius MelloF
- 94A. E. FettahogluM
- 15M. RabiiD
- 39N. MujkićD
- 74S. MalkoçoğluM
- 66S. LekovićG
- 5Khalifa Al HammadiD
- 25J. GeusensM
- 30A. DennisM
- 9S. BanzaF
Form going into Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al-Jazira
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Pro League
- W1-0away to Al-Wasl FC28 August 2026
Al-Jazira
Pro League
- W3-0Ajman29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
United Arab Emirates Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 13 |
| 1 | Al-Jazira | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and Al-Jazira
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Al-Jazira
GoalsAssists
- Malcom31
- Bruno21
- Vinicius Mello20
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Jazira won 3–1 at Shabab Al Ahli Dubai. The model had leaned towards a win for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at 38% and given a win for Al-Jazira 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Guilherme da Silva Goncalves 2' for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, Malcom 45+5' for Al-Jazira, Marcus Vinicius Barbosa Meloni 55' for Al-Jazira, Kristjan Asllani 90+1' for Al-Jazira.