Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al Taawon 0-0 Al-Fateh.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Al Taawon, 29% draw, 33% Al-Fateh — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Al Taawon at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1MailsonG
- 6B. Al HurayjiD
- 5Z. BelaidD
- 32M. Al MufarrijD
- 88M. PetkovD
- 19O. DorleyM
- 18A. El MahdiouiM
- 7M. Al KuwaykibiM
- 47Y. El BahraouiM
- 8P. GuiagonM
- 9A. HamdallahF
- 30A. Al JadaniG
- 27A. Al HassanD
- 93A. Al SaluliD
- 43N. Al HawairyD
- 23R. Al TulayhiM
- 70A. Hendi
- 14S. RajabF
- 17S. M. Al Aqel M.F
- 20B. Al AriniF
- 1A. SemperG
- 22A. R. Al Khaibre
- 17M. SaadaneD
- 78A. Al SuwailemD
- 16A. I. Al KhaibariD
- 8M. LixandruM
- 28Z. YoussoufM
- 11M. BatnaM
- 80F. Al AbdulwahedM
- 10L. HaraslinM
- 9W. KangaF
- 94W. Al EneziG
- 87Bin Mahmoud
- 19R. KelderD
- 4Z. Al JariD
- 63M. Al ShqaqD
- 18A. Al FawazM
- 29A. Al MasoudF
- 49S. Al SharfaF
- 21Ramos JeffersonF
Form going into Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh
Al Taawon
No earlier matches on record this season.
Al-Fateh
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Al-Ittihad29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Saudi Arabia Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Al Taawon | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 5 |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
Al Taawon and Al-Fateh drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Al Taawon at 38% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. Sent off: Younes El Bahraoui (Al Taawon) 66'. On expected goals it finished 1.33–0.97.