4 September 2026, 19:00 UTC

Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne Premier Division prediction & result

Tallaght Stadium, Dublin
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Shamrock Rovers 0-0 Shelbourne.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Shamrock Rovers, 28% draw, 30% Shelbourne — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Shamrock Rovers at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Shamrock Rovers5%Draw92%Shelbourne3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

33'
Jonathan Lunney
35'
Daniel Kelly
45'
🔁Sean Gannonout: Milan Bernhard Mbeng
45'
🔁Jonathan Lunneyout: Alistair Coote
Enda Stevens
61'
64'
🔁Rodrigo Costa Freitasout: Ademipo Odubeko
🔁Jack Byrneout: William Fitzgerald
66'
🔁Michael Noonanout: Jonathan Afolabi
67'
🔁Graham Burkeout: John McGovern
67'
🔁Adam Brennanout: John O'Reilly-O'Sullivan
75'
78'
🔁Jack Henry-Francisout: Sean Moore

Match stats — Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne

53%Possession47%
16Shots11
4On target2
5Corners5

Line-ups

Shamrock Rovers 3-5-2
  • 1E. McGintyG
  • 5L. GraceD
  • 4PicoD
  • 3E. StevensD
  • 22T. SobowaleM
  • 7D. WattsM
  • 8M. HealyM
  • 29J. ByrneM
  • 19A. BrennanM
  • 31M. NoonanF
  • 10G. BurkeF
Substitutes
  • 25L. SteacyG
  • 26John O'SullivanM
  • 27C. O'SullivanD
  • 11J. MulraneyM
  • 88J. McGovernF
  • 9A. GreeneF
  • 24W. FitzgeraldF
  • 6D. ClearyD
  • 18J. AfolabiF
Coach: S. Bradley
Shelbourne 4-3-3
  • 19E. BeachG
  • 2S. GannonD
  • 16O. CaseyD
  • 4K. LedwidgeD
  • 18James Barry NorrisD
  • 21Jack Henry-FrancisM
  • 6J. LunneyM
  • 23K. McInroyM
  • 27E. CaffreyF
  • 20R. FreitasF
  • 17D. KellyF
Substitutes
  • 55James RocheD
  • 44Daniel RingF
  • 11M. OdubekoF
  • 22S. MooreD
  • 25M. MbengD
  • 13M. JohnsonG
  • 36W. JarvisM
  • 14A. CooteM
  • 9S. BoydF
Coach: J. Russell

Form going into Shamrock Rovers vs Shelbourne

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions we cover

  • D3-3away to Derry City30 August 2026
  • L0-1away to KuPS27 August 2026
  • D1-1KuPS20 August 2026
  • L1-5away to Egnatia Rrogozhinë13 August 2026
  • W3-1Egnatia Rrogozhinë4 August 2026

Shelbourne

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2Ajax13 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Ajax6 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Kalju Nomme30 July 2026
  • W5-2Kalju Nomme23 July 2026

What these results say

  • Shamrock Rovers conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Shamrock Rovers failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Shamrock Rovers scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Shelbourne scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Shelbourne conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Shelbourne had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers3620885938+2168
4Shelbourne361213115250+249

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Shamrock Rovers and Shelbourne

Shamrock Rovers

GoalsAssists

  • J. McGovern107
  • G. Burke84

Shelbourne

GoalsAssists

  • H. Wood85
  • D. Kelly84
  • J. Martin82

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Shamrock Rovers and Shelbourne drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Shamrock Rovers at 42% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.