4 September 2026, 23:30 UTC

New York City FC vs Nashville SC Major League Soccer prediction & result

Yankee Stadium, New York
Full time0 – 0

Final score: New York City FC 0-0 Nashville SC.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% New York City FC, 29% draw, 28% Nashville SC — fair odds of 2.33, 3.45 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts New York City FC at 43% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into New York City FC vs Nashville SC

New York City FC

  • D1-1away to Toronto FC29 August 2026
  • D1-1away to New England Revolution23 August 2026
  • L1-2away to FC Cincinnati19 August 2026
  • L2-3Philadelphia Union16 August 2026
  • D1-1Toronto FC31 July 2026

Nashville SC

  • W4-0FC Cincinnati30 August 2026
  • W3-2Columbus Crew23 August 2026
  • W1-0away to New York Red Bulls19 August 2026
  • W4-1Inter Miami16 August 2026
  • D2-2away to DC United1 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: New York City FC vs Nashville SC

  • 24 May 2026Nashville SC 2–1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
  • 17 August 2025New York City FC 2–1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • 31 May 2025Nashville SC 2–2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
  • 6 October 2024New York City FC 3–1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • 23 June 2024Nashville SC 1–0 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
  • 15 April 2023New York City FC 2–1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: New York City FC and Nashville SC

New York City FC

  • N. Fernández Mercau15 goals4 assists

Nashville SC

  • S. Surridge15 goals
  • H. Mukhtar10 goals6 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.