Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Super League prediction & result
Final score: Beijing Guoan 1-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long.
Before kick-off the model made it 57% Beijing Guoan, 25% draw, 18% Chongqing Tongliang Long — fair odds of 1.75, 4.00 and 5.56.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Beijing Guoan at 57%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
Line-ups
- 34Hou SenG
- 27Gang WangD
- 25Uroš SpajićD
- 5Guilherme RamosD
- 47Deng JiefuD
- 37Yongjing CaoM
- 8Aboubacar KonteM
- 7Sai Erjini'aoM
- 11Lin LiangmingM
- 10Zhang XizheF
- 9Zhang YuningF
- 58Zicheng JiangF
- 21Tze-Nam YueD
- 22Han JiaqiG
- 26Yang BaiD
- 41Cheng XiM
- 30Shuangjie FanD
- 24Abdugheni AbduhamitD
- 4Li LeiD
- 43Xia XiaoyuM
- 1Haoyang YaoG
- 38Qilong RuanD
- 4Ruijie YueD
- 32Michael NgadeuD
- 33LucãoD
- 26Xiaoqiang HeD
- 21Jiale LiuM
- 10Ibrahim AmadouM
- 16Zhixiong ZhangM
- 27Yongqiang WuM
- 19Du YuezhengF
- 37Wei SuoweiD
- 9Alexandru CîmpanuF
- 11Nany DimataF
- 15Chen ChunxinM
- 7Yuwang XiangF
- 24Mingshi LiuD
- 31Wu ZitongG
- 25Yeerzhati YeerjietiG
- 3Zhang YingkaiD
Form going into Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
Beijing Guoan
Super League
- W4-3away to Henan Jianye24 October 2026
- W1-0Qingdao Youth Island18 October 2026
- W3-0away to Qingdao Jonoon9 October 2026
- D0-0away to SHANGHAI SIPG5 September 2026
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Super League
- W2-0Qingdao Jonoon24 October 2026
- D1-1away to Yunnan Yukun17 October 2026
- D1-1Shandong Luneng11 October 2026
- L1-3Shanghai Shenhua6 September 2026
What these results say
- Beijing Guoan went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Beijing Guoan won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Beijing Guoan scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Chongqing Tongliang Long scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Chongqing Tongliang Long failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Chongqing Tongliang Long conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
China Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 58 | 36 | +22 | 50 |
| 10 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 36 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
- 30 May 2026Chongqing Tongliang Long 2–3 Beijing GuoanSuper League
Leading scorers: Beijing Guoan and Chongqing Tongliang Long
Beijing Guoan
GoalsAssists
- Zhang Yuning157
- Fábio Abreu116
Chongqing Tongliang Long
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 31 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Beijing Guoan beat Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Beijing Guoan at 57%. The goal: Zhang Yuning 80' for Beijing Guoan.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.