Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu Super League prediction & result
Final score: Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 Sichuan Jiuniu.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Qingdao Jonoon, 26% draw, 40% Sichuan Jiuniu — fair odds of 2.94, 3.85 and 2.50.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Sichuan Jiuniu at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu
Line-ups
- 28Pengfei MuG
- 17Qiao WangD
- 33Liu JiashenD
- 4Yangyang JinD
- 29Suda LiD
- 7Yaw YeboahM
- 31Senwen LuoM
- 8Chuangyi LinM
- 34Yonghao JinM
- 19Song WenjieF
- 10Carlos StrandbergF
- 9Xinyu LiuF
- 20Ruicong GongD
- 3Junshuai LiuD
- 21Liu GuobaoM
- 30Shiwei CheM
- 37Zixian WeiD
- 1Jun LiuG
- 43Mewlan JapparG
- 14Zheng'ao SunD
- 13Peng PengG
- 16Miao TangD
- 3Gabriel XavierD
- 46Huanming ShenD
- 20Zhijian XuanD
- 36Eden KarzevM
- 31Deabeas Owusu-SekyereM
- 8Tim ChowM
- 10Dai Wai TsunM
- 11Albion AdemiM
- 7Wesley MoraesF
- 23Yiming YangD
- 29Dalong XiaF
- 17Li NingM
- 35Minzhe WeiG
- 1Jiabao JiG
- 56Yuheng WangM
- 6Junsheng YaoM
- 19Zhang YufengM
- 14Li LongM
Form going into Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Jonoon
Super League
- L0-2away to Chongqing Tongliang Long24 October 2026
- L0-4Shenyang Urban17 October 2026
- L0-3Beijing Guoan9 October 2026
- L1-2away to Dalian Zhixing5 September 2026
Sichuan Jiuniu
Super League
- W2-1Shanghai Shenhua24 October 2026
- L1-3away to Dalian Zhixing17 October 2026
- D2-2Henan Jianye9 October 2026
- D1-1away to Shandong Luneng5 September 2026
What these results say
- Qingdao Jonoon did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Qingdao Jonoon conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Qingdao Jonoon failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Sichuan Jiuniu scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Sichuan Jiuniu conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 4 matches for Sichuan Jiuniu.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
China Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 15 |
| 11 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 33 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu
- 30 May 2026Sichuan Jiuniu 3–2 Qingdao JonoonSuper League
- 19 July 2025Sichuan Jiuniu 4–0 Qingdao JonoonSuper League
- 1 March 2025Qingdao Jonoon 0–1 Sichuan JiuniuSuper League
- 17 August 2024Qingdao Jonoon 1–0 Sichuan JiuniuSuper League
- 26 April 2024Sichuan Jiuniu 1–3 Qingdao JonoonSuper League
- 19 September 2022Sichuan Jiuniu 0–2 Qingdao JonoonLeague One
Leading scorers: Qingdao Jonoon and Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Jonoon
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 36 league goals as a side.
Sichuan Jiuniu
GoalsAssists
- Wesley Moraes145
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Qingdao Jonoon and Sichuan Jiuniu drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Sichuan Jiuniu at 40% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Y. Yeboah (penalty) 32' for Qingdao Jonoon, C. Strandberg 48' for Qingdao Jonoon, Wesley Moraes 73' for Sichuan Jiuniu, T. Chow 81' for Sichuan Jiuniu.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.