6 October 2026, 22:30 UTC

Sport Recife vs São Bernardo Serie B prediction & result

Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, Recife
Referee: Raimundo Rodrigues de Oliveira Junior
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Sport Recife 2-1 São Bernardo.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Sport Recife, 28% draw, 28% São Bernardo — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Sport Recife at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sport Recife97%Draw3%São Bernardo0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Mariano Andrés Soso
10'
⚽Neto Pessoaassist: Chrystian Amaral Barletta de Almeida
17'
Chrystian Amaral Barletta de Almeida
40'
Raí Lopes de Oliveira
43'
46'
⚽Pedro Gabriel Pereira Lopesassist: Lucas Eduardo·Lima da Silva
53'
Fabrício Daniel
🔁Juanout: Kervin Andrade
59'
🔁Raí Lopes de Oliveiraout: Edson Lucas Pereira
59'
65'
🔁Fabrício Danielout: Lucas Fernandes
67'
Hugo Sanches Nogueira Ribeiro Magalhães
🔁Neto Pessoaout: Pedro Henrique Perotti
69'
73'
🔁Lucas Eduardo·Lima da Silvaout: Foguinho
73'
🔁Felipe Garciaout: Pedro Vitor Ferreira da Silva
76'
Jemerson
78'
🔁Pedro Gabriel Pereira Lopesout: Lucas Rian Santos Oliveira
78'
🔁Eduardo·da Silva Albuquerqueout: Romisson
🔁Claudinhoout: Augusto Pucci De Freitas
79'
🔁Carlos María de Pena Boninoout: Arthur Maron Cruz
79'
82'
Luiz Gustavo Oliveira da Silva
⚽Patrick de Paula Carreiro
86'
Patrick de Paula Carreiro
87'
Habraão Lincon do Nascimento Saraiva
90+5'

Match stats — Sport Recife vs São Bernardo

48%Possession52%
19Shots20
5On target4
5Corners9

Line-ups

Sport Recife 4-2-3-1
  • 26Thiago CoutoG
  • 27ClaudinhoD
  • 5Marcelo BenevenutoD
  • 3Marcelo AjulD
  • 76RaíD
  • 29Willian OliveiraM
  • 7Patrick de PaulaM
  • 30Chrystian BarlettaM
  • 8Juan AlanoM
  • 10C. de PenaM
  • 19Neto PessoaF
Substitutes
  • 80K. AndradeF
  • 75A. MaronF
  • 40Matheus MirandaD
  • 21BrennoG
  • 96EdsonD
  • 9PerottiF
  • 23Zé GabrielM
  • 28HabraãoD
  • 25ClaysonM
Coach: M. Soso
São Bernardo 3-4-3
  • 1Alex AlvesG
  • 97AugustoD
  • 35JemersonD
  • 90LuizãoD
  • 21Hugo SanchesM
  • 14Lucas LimaM
  • 26EduardoM
  • 6ParáM
  • 10Fabrício DanielF
  • 9Felipe GarciaF
  • 29PedrinhoF
Substitutes
  • 7LucasF
  • 31Lucas FernandesM
  • 8FoguinhoM
  • 16João Pedro Constancio Dos SantosD
  • 37D. DaviF
  • 36João Vitor Rodrigues GaldinoM
  • 12Júnior OliveiraG
  • 27EchaporãF
  • 17RomissonM
Coach: Vinícius Bergantin

Form going into Sport Recife vs São Bernardo

Sport Recife

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to Athletic Club1 October 2026

São Bernardo

All competitions we cover

  • W3-1CRB2 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Brazil Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Sport Recife381513105342+1158
11São Bernardo381411135444+1053

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sport Recife vs São Bernardo

  • 14 June 2026São Bernardo 0–0 Sport RecifeSerie B

Leading scorers: Sport Recife and São Bernardo

Sport Recife

GoalsAssists

  • Perotti151
  • Chrystian Barletta144

São Bernardo

No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 54 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Sport Recife beat São Bernardo 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Sport Recife at 44%. The goals: Neto Pessoa 17' for Sport Recife, Pedro Gabriel Pereira Lopes 46' for São Bernardo, Patrick de Paula Carreiro 86' for Sport Recife.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.