Goias vs Athletic Club Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Goias 2-1 Athletic Club.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Goias, 29% draw, 33% Athletic Club — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Brazilian Serie B predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Goias at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Goias vs Athletic Club
Line-ups
- 23TadeuG
- 2Rodrigo SoaresD
- 3Luiz FelipeD
- 14Lucas RibeiroD
- 54Djalma SilvaD
- 97LourençoM
- 5Filipe MachadoM
- 21Jean Carlos Alves FerreiraM
- 10Lucas LimaM
- 40KaduM
- 18CaduF
- 8JuninhoM
- 25Luis FellipeD
- 6NicolasD
- 55Guilherme BaldóriaM
- 35LuquinhasM
- 66Danilo CunhaD
- 4Ramon MenezesD
- 28GegêM
- 77HalerrandrioF
Form going into Goias vs Athletic Club
Goias
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Novorizontino2 October 2026
Athletic Club
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Sport Recife1 October 2026
- D0-0Alaves19 September 2026
- D1-1Elche12 September 2026
- W3-0Atletico Madrid5 September 2026
- W2-0away to Celta Vigo30 August 2026
What these results say
- Athletic Club scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Goias and Athletic Club in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Goias | Serie B | 38 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 58 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | La Liga | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 16 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Brazil Serie B · La Liga
Head-to-head: Goias vs Athletic Club
- 14 June 2026Athletic Club MG 1–1 GoiasSerie B
- 11 October 2025Athletic Club MG 1–1 GoiasSerie B
- 24 June 2025Goias 1–2 Athletic Club MGSerie B
Leading scorers: Goias and Athletic Club
Goias
GoalsAssists
- Kadu111
Athletic Club
GoalsAssists
- Álex Berenguer44
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Goias beat Athletic Club 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Goias at 38%. The goals: Luiz Felipe Clemente de Almeida 58' for Goias, João Miguel 63' for Athletic Club MG, Lucas Rodrigues 90+1' for Goias.
How the call on Goias v Athletic Club has moved
First published on 3 Oct at 21% / 28% / 51% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 38% / 29% / 33%: the biggest move is Athletic Club's chance of winning, down 18 points.
- Goias win38%▲ +17
- Draw29%▲ +1
- Athletic Club win33%▼ −18
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.