Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan Super League prediction & result
Final score: Tianjin Teda 2-4 Beijing Guoan.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Tianjin Teda, 27% draw, 48% Beijing Guoan — fair odds of 4.00, 3.70 and 2.08. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Beijing Guoan at 48% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Teda
- L1-2away to Shandong Luneng9 August 2026
Beijing Guoan
- W4-0Sichuan Jiuniu7 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Tianjin Teda | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 32 | +4 | 25 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 49 | 33 | +16 | 38 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Tianjin Teda vs Beijing Guoan
- 25 April 2026Beijing Guoan 2–4 Tianjin TedaSuper League
- 3 August 2025Beijing Guoan 2–2 Tianjin TedaSuper League
- 2 April 2025Tianjin Teda 2–2 Beijing GuoanSuper League
- 21 July 2024Beijing Guoan 2–0 Tianjin TedaSuper League
- 30 April 2024Tianjin Teda 0–1 Beijing GuoanSuper League
- 9 August 2023Tianjin Teda 0–0 Beijing GuoanSuper League
Leading scorers: Tianjin Teda and Beijing Guoan
Tianjin Teda
- Alberto Quiles10 goals4 assists
Beijing Guoan
- Zhang Yuning12 goals6 assists
- Fábio Abreu9 goals6 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.