Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing Super League prediction & result
Final score: Yunnan Yukun 3-1 Dalian Zhixing.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Yunnan Yukun, 24% draw, 23% Dalian Zhixing — fair odds of 1.89, 4.17 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Yunnan Yukun at 53% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing
Yunnan Yukun
- W1-0Chengdu Better City8 August 2026
Dalian Zhixing
- W1-0Shenyang Urban8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 54 | 51 | +3 | 38 |
| 2 | Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Yunnan Yukun vs Dalian Zhixing
- 26 April 2026Dalian Zhixing 1–3 Yunnan YukunSuper League
- 19 September 2025Yunnan Yukun 1–1 Dalian ZhixingSuper League
- 1 May 2025Dalian Zhixing 3–2 Yunnan YukunSuper League
- 26 October 2024Yunnan Yukun 2–0 Dalian ZhixingLeague One
- 15 June 2024Dalian Zhixing 0–3 Yunnan YukunLeague One
- 10 October 2023Dalian Zhixing 0–1 Yunnan YukunLeague Two
Leading scorers: Yunnan Yukun and Dalian Zhixing
Yunnan Yukun
- O. Maritu20 goals8 assists
- Cléber12 goals5 assists
Dalian Zhixing
- N. Stanciu9 goals4 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.