Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye Super League prediction & result
Final score: Shanghai Shenhua 4-1 Henan Jianye.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Shanghai Shenhua, 30% draw, 17% Henan Jianye — fair odds of 1.89, 3.33 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Shanghai Shenhua at 53% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye
Shanghai Shenhua
- W1-0away to Qingdao Jonoon8 August 2026
Henan Jianye
- D0-0Qingdao Youth Island9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 46 | +6 | 31 |
| 12 | Henan Jianye | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 27 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye
- 26 April 2026Henan Jianye 0–3 Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
- 27 July 2025Shanghai Shenhua 3–2 Henan JianyeSuper League
- 23 July 2025Shanghai Shenhua 3–3 Henan JianyeFA Cup
- 29 March 2025Henan Jianye 1–3 Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
- 18 October 2024Shanghai Shenhua 2–1 Henan JianyeSuper League
- 21 May 2024Henan Jianye 1–2 Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
Leading scorers: Shanghai Shenhua and Henan Jianye
Shanghai Shenhua
- Rafael Ratão15 goals1 assists
Henan Jianye
- Gustavo13 goals4 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.