9 September 2026, 16:45 UTC

Twente vs Telstar Eredivisie prediction & result

De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Twente 1-0 Telstar.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Twente, 28% draw, 26% Telstar — fair odds of 2.17, 3.57 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Twente at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Twente97%Draw3%Telstar0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Younes Taha El Idrissi
23'
46'
Nökkvi Þeyr Þórisson
55'
Marvin Peersman
61'
🔁Tyrone Owusuout: Noach Shenkman
61'
🔁Nökkvi Þeyr Þórissonout: Jelani Seedorf
62'
🔁Gerald Aldersout: Rojendro Oudsten
🔁Daan Rotsout: Filip Erik Thorvaldsen
62'
62'
Sem valk
⚽Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeterassist: Younes Taha El Idrissi
65'
🔁Younes Taha El Idrissiout: Robin Propper
73'
🔁Aske Emil Berg Adelgaardout: Thomas Van den Belt
73'
74'
🔁Jeff Hardeveldout: Harrie Kuster
🔁Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeterout: Marko Pjaca
79'
⚽Wout Weghorst (pen)
81'
82'
🔁Rui Mendesout: Ar'jany Martha

Match stats — Twente vs Telstar

63%Possession37%
22Shots3
8On target2
9Corners2

Line-ups

Twente 4-2-3-1
  • 1L. UnnerstallG
  • 28B. van RooijD
  • 38M. BrunsD
  • 4R. NijstadD
  • 29A. AdelgaardD
  • 6R. ZerroukiM
  • 8D. WeidmannM
  • 11D. RotsM
  • 10Y. TahaM
  • 27S. ØrjasæterM
  • 9W. WeghorstF
Substitutes
  • 18Jordy BawuahM
  • 22R. PasveerG
  • 3R. PröpperD
  • 2M. RosiakD
  • 17F. ThorvaldsenF
  • 25Lucas Vennegoor of HesselinkF
  • 20T. van den BeltM
  • 37N. ÜnüvarF
  • 24K. KurowskiD
Coach: J. van den Brom
Telstar 3-4-2-1
  • 1R. KoemanG
  • 16S. ValkD
  • 4A. SoualhiaD
  • 43M. PeersmanD
  • 3Gerald AldersM
  • 17N. RossenM
  • 10T. OwusuM
  • 2J. HardeveldM
  • 7Rui MendesM
  • 27P. BrouwerM
  • 11N. ÞórissonF
Substitutes
  • 8E. DemircanF
  • 14H. KusterM
  • 42A. MarthaD
  • 13Finn MulderG
  • 15N. NwankwoD
  • 28R. OudstenD
  • 20D. ReizigerG
  • 9Jelani SeedorfF
  • 23N. ShenkmanM
Coach: H. Brugge

Form going into Twente vs Telstar

Twente

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2away to Groningen6 September 2026
  • W4-1away to Cambuur30 August 2026
  • W4-1away to Qarabag27 August 2026
  • L0-1Qarabag20 August 2026
  • W3-1PEC Zwolle16 August 2026

Telstar

All competitions we cover

  • D2-2Cambuur6 September 2026
  • L0-4Ajax30 August 2026
  • L1-3Sparta Rotterdam14 August 2026
  • W2-1away to NEC Nijmegen8 August 2026

What these results say

  • Twente conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Twente scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Twente had three goals or more.
  • Telstar conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Telstar had three goals or more.
  • Telstar failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Twente127323012+1824
16Telstar122461825-710

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Twente vs Telstar

  • 15 February 2026Telstar 1–1 TwenteEredivisie
  • 7 November 2025Twente 0–0 TelstarEredivisie
  • 10 January 2023Twente 3–1 TelstarKNVB Beker
  • 12 April 2019Twente 1–0 TelstarEerste Divisie
  • 21 September 2018Telstar 1–3 TwenteEerste Divisie

The full Twente vs Telstar record →

Leading scorers: Twente and Telstar

Twente

GoalsAssists

  • W. Weghorst92

Telstar

GoalsAssists

  • T. Owusu51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Twente beat Telstar 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Twente at 46%. The goal: Sondre Holmlund Orjasaeter 65' for Twente.

How the call on Twente v Telstar has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 44% / 29% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 46% / 28% / 26%: the biggest move is Twente's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Twente win46%▲ +2
  2. Draw28%▼ −1
  3. Telstar win26%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.