Telstar sit 13th in the Eredivisie on 5 points from 6 matches, having scored 5 and conceded 11. The model rates their attack at 0.68× the league average and their defence at 1.12× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 draws and 3 defeats, most recently drawing with Heerenveen 0-0 away. That is 0.83 points a match, scoring 0.83 and conceding 1.83 per game across 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. That leaves them 11 points behind PSV Eindhoven at the top, in a table of 18. Among the 18 rated sides in the division that is the 17th-best attack and the 5th-best defence. They scored in 3 of those 5 and kept 2 clean sheets. Next they travel to AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie on 20 September 2026, a match the model gives them 25%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 16 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | +13 | 14 |
| 4 | Ajax | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 13 |
| 5 | Twente | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 6 | Excelsior | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 10 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Groningen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | NEC Nijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 |
| 14 | Utrecht | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Cambuur | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
| 17 | Willem II | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 2 |
| 18 | ADO Den Haag | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
Telstar sit 13 of 18, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- D0-0away to Heerenveen13 September 2026
- L0-1away to Twente9 September 2026
- D2-2Cambuur6 September 2026
- L0-4Ajax30 August 2026
- L1-3Sparta Rotterdam14 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Telstar vs AZ Alkmaar
Telstar travel to AZ Alkmaar at AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar on 20 September 2026, 12:30 UTC. The model makes it 25% Telstar, 29% draw and 46% AZ Alkmaar, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 0.93 expected goals for Telstar against 1.68. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Full preview and model analysis for Telstar vs AZ Alkmaar
Recent meetings with AZ Alkmaar
- 4 March 2026AZ Alkmaar 2–1 TelstarKNVB Beker
- 25 January 2026Telstar 0–1 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
- 5 October 2025AZ Alkmaar 2–1 TelstarEredivisie
The last 3 meetings between the two, most recent first.