4 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt UEFA Champions League prediction & result

AlbertPark, Oostende
Full time3 – 3

Final score: Union St. Gilloise 3-3 Bodo/Glimt.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Union St. Gilloise, 26% draw, 36% Bodo/Glimt — fair odds of 2.63, 3.85 and 2.78.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Champions League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Bodo/Glimt v Union St. Gilloise, 11 Aug →

Bodo/Glimt went through 6–5 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Union St. Gilloise at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Union St. Gilloise96%Draw4%Bodo/Glimt0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Massire Sylla
18'
20'
⚽P. Berg
⚽R. Florucz
25'
Kevin Mac Allister
27'
29'
⚽O. Blomberg (pen)
Darius Olaru
32'
41'
Jostein Gundersen
43'
Sondre Fet
⚽R. Floruczassist: Guilherme Smith
45'
46'
🔁J. Haugeout: A. Helmersen
46'
🔁S. Auklendout: J. Kitolano
🔁R. Floruczout: K. Rodriguez
56'
🔁D. Olaruout: B. Zeneli
56'
🔁R. Sykesout: N. Havenaar
56'
68'
🔁F. Bjorkanout: I. Maatta
🔁M. Fuseiniout: P. David
71'
Guilherme Smith
72'
🔁Guilherme Smithout: O. Niang
80'
80'
🔁O. Brynhildsenout: H. Aleesami
⚽P. Davidassist: K. Rodriguez
88'
Besfort Zeneli
90'
90'
⚽O. L. Bjortuftassist: P. Berg

Line-ups

Union St. Gilloise 3-4-1-2
  • 1V. ChambaereG
  • 5K. Mac AllisterD
  • 29M. SyllaD
  • 26R. SykesD
  • 25A. KhalailiM
  • 6K. Van De PerreM
  • 17R. SchoofsM
  • 11Guilherme SmithM
  • 28D. OlaruM
  • 30R. FloruczF
  • 7M. FuseiniF
Substitutes
  • 18G. KavlashviliG
  • 71K. Boets
  • 9M. Biondic
  • 12P. DavidF
  • 13K. RodriguezF
  • 22O. NiangM
  • 23B. ZeneliM
  • 27L. PatrisD
  • 38R. MofokengM
Coach: David Hubert
Bodo/Glimt 4-3-3
  • 12N. HaikinG
  • 20F. SjovoldD
  • 4O. L. BjortuftD
  • 6J. GundersenD
  • 15F. BjorkanD
  • 8S. AuklendM
  • 7P. BergM
  • 19S. FetM
  • 11O. BlombergF
  • 17O. BrynhildsenF
  • 10J. HaugeF
Substitutes
  • 1J. LundG
  • 2V. NielsenD
  • 5H. AleesamiD
  • 9A. HelmersenF
  • 16J. KitolanoM
  • 23M. RiisnaesM
  • 24D. BassiF
  • 25I. MaattaD
  • 77M. Bro HansenF
Coach: Kjetil Knutsen

Form going into Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt

Union St. Gilloise

No earlier matches on record this season.

Bodo/Glimt

All competitions we cover

  • W4-0Lillestrom31 July 2026
  • W3-0away to Sandefjord26 July 2026
  • W3-0Ham-Kam22 July 2026
  • W1-0Fredrikstad17 July 2026

What these results say

  • Bodo/Glimt won every one of these 4 matches.
  • Bodo/Glimt scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Bodo/Glimt kept a clean sheet in every one of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt

  • 3 October 2024Union St. Gilloise 0–0 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Europa League

The result against the call

Union St. Gilloise and Bodo/Glimt drew 3–3. The model had leaned towards a win for Union St. Gilloise at 38% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: P. Berg 20' for Bodo/Glimt, R. Florucz 25' for Union St. Gilloise, O. Blomberg (penalty) 29' for Bodo/Glimt, R. Florucz 45' for Union St. Gilloise, P. David 88' for Union St. Gilloise, O. L. Bjortuft 90' for Bodo/Glimt.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.