4 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Olympiakos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Olympiakos Piraeus 0-0 NEC Nijmegen.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Olympiakos Piraeus, 27% draw, 33% NEC Nijmegen — fair odds of 2.50, 3.70 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Olympiakos Piraeus at 40% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Olympiakos Piraeus4%Draw92%NEC Nijmegen4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

David Carmo
11'
🔁J. Rocaout: G. Martins
46'
🔁Chiquinhoout: Jota Silva
56'
🔁D. Carmoout: L. Pirola
56'
🔁M. Saliakasout: P. Maffeo
57'
🔁P. Retsosout: Z. Smajlovic
64'
Dani García
67'
70'
🔁S. Ouaissaout: E. Mor
70'
🔁T. Stormout: B. Pereira
74'
🔁B. Linssenout: D. Tadic
74'
🔁P. Sandlerout: I. Hansen-Aaroen
90+1'
Willum Thor Willumsson
90'
🔁J. Monteiroout: W. T. Willumsson

Match stats — Olympiakos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen

54%Possession46%
12Shots13
5On target4
5Corners2

Line-ups

Olympiakos Piraeus 4-2-3-1
  • 31B. PopovicG
  • 2M. SaliakasD
  • 45P. RetsosD
  • 6D. CarmoD
  • 70B. OnyemaechiD
  • 14D. GarciaM
  • 96C. MouzakitisM
  • 23RodineiM
  • 22ChiquinhoM
  • 73J. RocaM
  • 9A. El KaabiF
Substitutes
  • 1S. OrtegaG
  • 91D. StournarasG
  • 76A. TsompanidisG
  • 20Jota SilvaF
  • 8G. SaM
  • 16L. ScipioniM
  • 77C. FilisM
  • 7K. FortounisM
  • 10G. MartinsM
Coach: Luis Mendilibar Jose
NEC Nijmegen 3-4-2-1
  • 1G. CrettazG
  • 21T. StormD
  • 3P. SandlerD
  • 24D. FonvilleD
  • 25S. OuaissaM
  • 35J. MonteiroM
  • 6D. NejasmicM
  • 99C. BischoffM
  • 20N. LebretonF
  • 30B. LinssenF
  • 9T. CheryF
Substitutes
  • 36F. EntiusG
  • 38J. Geneste
  • 10D. TadicF
  • 8I. Hansen-AaroenM
  • 7E. MorF
  • 5T. OuwejanD
  • 14K. SierhuisF
  • 11W. T. WillumssonM
  • 2B. PereiraD
Coach: Dick Schreuder

Head-to-head: Olympiakos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen

  • 27 July 2024NEC Nijmegen 0–2 Olympiakos PiraeusFriendlies Clubs
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.