Shamrock Rovers vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Shamrock Rovers 3-1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Shamrock Rovers, 22% draw, 41% Egnatia Rrogozhinë — fair odds of 2.70, 4.55 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Egnatia Rrogozhinë v Shamrock Rovers, 13 Aug →
Egnatia Rrogozhinë went through 6–4 on aggregate.
All Europa League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Egnatia Rrogozhinë at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Shamrock Rovers vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Line-ups
- 1Ed McGintyG
- 22Tunmise SobowaleD
- 4PicoD
- 3Enda StevensD
- 24William FitzgeraldM
- 29Jack ByrneM
- 8Matthew HealyM
- 7Dylan WattsM
- 19Adam BrennanM
- 10Graham BurkeF
- 9Aaron GreeneF
- 11Jake MulraneyM
- 18Jonathan AfolabiF
- 14Daniel MandroiuM
- 28Naj RaziM
- 26John O'SullivanM
- 41Alex NoonanG
- 5Lee GraceD
- 17Luke O'ReganD
- 27Cory O'SullivanD
- 98Mario DajsinaniG
- 28Eljon SotaD
- 33Eneo BitriD
- 4Zamiq AliyevD
- 22Guillem JaimeD
- 7Fernando MedeirosM
- 17Altin KryeziuM
- 8Ibrahim DiabatéM
- 29Andrey YagoM
- 2Daniel AdjessaF
- 77Ildi GrudaM
- 10Alessandro AlbaneseM
- 20Karim LoukiliM
- 99Jurguens MontenegroF
- 24Numan AjetovikjD
- 16Edison NdrecaD
- 1Levan TandilashviliG
- 12Bruno PujaG
- 13Alessandro KacbufiD
- 55Geralb SmajliD
Form going into Shamrock Rovers vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Shamrock Rovers
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Ararat-Armenia28 July 2026
- L0-2away to Ararat-Armenia21 July 2026
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Celje28 July 2026
- D3-3Celje22 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Shamrock Rovers and Egnatia Rrogozhinë in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 59 | 38 | +21 | 68 |
| 26 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | UEFA Europa Conference League | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Premier Division · UEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: Shamrock Rovers and Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Shamrock Rovers
GoalsAssists
- J. McGovern107
- G. Burke84
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
No player in UEFA Europa Conference League's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Shamrock Rovers beat Egnatia Rrogozhinë 3–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Egnatia Rrogozhinë at 41% and given a win for Shamrock Rovers 37%. The goals: Graham Burke (penalty) 29' for Shamrock Rovers, Guillem Jaime 41' for Egnatia Rrogozhinë, Pico 55' for Shamrock Rovers, Aaron Greene 57' for Shamrock Rovers.