Vasas vs Nyiregyhaza NB I prediction & result
Final score: Vasas 3-2 Nyiregyhaza.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Vasas, 32% draw, 25% Nyiregyhaza — fair odds of 2.33, 3.13 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Hungarian NB I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Vasas at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Vasas vs Nyiregyhaza
Line-ups
- 87M. EngediG
- 4B. PavkovicsD
- 57P. IyinborD
- 17D. CsokaD
- 14A. DoktoricsD
- 10M. KovacsretiM
- 16B. RabM
- 15S. HidiM
- 77M. TothM
- 88J. UrblikF
- 9M. KosztaF
- 26J. UramG
- 36B. BarathD
- 68A. GirsikD
- 22V. GeyD
- 24S. Mezei
- 8B. Z. Bano-SzaboM
- 29B. PethoF
- 7A. RadoF
- 18G. PalinkasF
- 57M. DalaG
- 24V. JovanovD
- 15A. TemesvariD
- 31L. Katona
- 66B. BenczenleitnerD
- 6Y. TomaM
- 12M. KovacsM
- 7N. AntonovM
- 8Z. HosF
- 23M. RegzaF
- 9M. KvasinaF
- 22M. MolnarG
- 32B. TothG
- 39R. ZikovicD
- 74D. Kaczvinszki
- 55B. KatonaM
- 21Z. VukkM
- 70M. KatonaM
- 10B. MannerM
- 26Z. MedvedF
Form going into Vasas vs Nyiregyhaza
Vasas
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Ujpest29 August 2026
- L0-1Puskas Academy22 August 2026
- W2-1away to Budapest Honved14 August 2026
- W5-0Zalaegerszegi TE8 August 2026
- D0-0away to Ferencvarosi TC2 August 2026
Nyiregyhaza
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Paks29 August 2026
- L1-2away to MTK Budapest22 August 2026
- W2-1Kisvarda FC15 August 2026
- L0-1away to Debreceni VSC9 August 2026
- L0-4away to Gyori ETO FC2 August 2026
What these results say
- Nyiregyhaza conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Nyiregyhaza failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Vasas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 16 |
| 12 | Nyiregyhaza | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Vasas vs Nyiregyhaza
- 14 September 2024Vasas 1–1 NyiregyhazaMagyar Kupa
- 20 April 2024Nyiregyhaza 3–1 VasasNB II
- 22 October 2023Vasas 3–0 NyiregyhazaNB II
- 18 October 2022Nyiregyhaza 1–2 VasasMagyar Kupa
- 20 March 2022Nyiregyhaza 0–1 VasasNB II
- 29 September 2021Vasas 2–0 NyiregyhazaNB II
Leading scorers: Vasas and Nyiregyhaza
Vasas
GoalsAssists
- J. Urblík33
Nyiregyhaza
GoalsAssists
- M. Kvasina41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Vasas beat Nyiregyhaza 3–2. The model had made a win for Vasas its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Z. Hos 8' for Nyiregyhaza, M. Koszta 11' for Vasas, M. Kovacsreti 45' for Vasas, B. Benczenleitner 58' for Nyiregyhaza, M. Kovacsreti 73' for Vasas.
How the call on Vasas v Nyiregyhaza has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 45% / 31% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 43% / 32% / 25%: the biggest move is Vasas's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Vasas win43%▼ −2
- Draw32%▲ +1
- Nyiregyhaza win25%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.