MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC NB I prediction & result
Final score: MTK Budapest 1-2 Kisvarda FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% MTK Budapest, 29% draw, 28% Kisvarda FC — fair odds of 2.33, 3.45 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts MTK Budapest at 43% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC
MTK Budapest
- D2-2away to Debreceni VSC28 August 2026
- W2-1Nyiregyhaza22 August 2026
- D1-1away to Ujpest15 August 2026
- L2-3Puskas Academy7 August 2026
Kisvarda FC
- D1-1Gyori ETO FC30 August 2026
- D0-0Debreceni VSC23 August 2026
- L1-2away to Nyiregyhaza15 August 2026
- L2-4Ujpest8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | MTK Budapest | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 9 |
| 7 | Kisvarda FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC
- 18 April 2026MTK Budapest 2–1 Kisvarda FCNB I
- 24 January 2026Kisvarda FC 2–3 MTK BudapestNB I
- 28 September 2025MTK Budapest 4–0 Kisvarda FCNB I
- 2 April 2024Kisvarda FC 3–2 MTK BudapestMagyar Kupa
- 17 March 2024MTK Budapest 2–1 Kisvarda FCNB I
- 25 November 2023Kisvarda FC 3–1 MTK BudapestNB I
Leading scorers: MTK Budapest and Kisvarda FC
MTK Budapest
- Zalán Márk Kerezsi4 goals2 assists
- G. Jurek4 goals1 assists
Kisvarda FC
- C. Herc3 goals
- M. Matanović2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.