MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC NB I prediction & result
Final score: MTK Budapest 1-2 Kisvarda FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% MTK Budapest, 29% draw, 28% Kisvarda FC — fair odds of 2.33, 3.45 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Hungarian NB I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
MTK Budapest at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC
Line-ups
- 1P. DemjenG
- 2B. VarjuD
- 4I. BeriashviliD
- 26V. ArmalasD
- 27P. KovacsD
- 6M. KataM
- 80A. ZeljkovicM
- 11G. JurekM
- 10I. BognarM
- 20Z. KerezsiM
- 37A. NyersF
- 24T. FadgyasG
- 12M. Macsik
- 17K. HinoraM
- 5D. HorvathD
- 30S. BakoF
- 8A. G. ZuborM
- 29S. SzuhodovszkiM
- 7D. ZsoriF
- 13M. TimoteusD
- 23I. PopovychG
- 55K. NagyD
- 42T. LippaiD
- 4M. ChlumeckyD
- 10D. SolteszD
- 11M. MatanovicM
- 24C. HercM
- 80H. MbockM
- 77A. EsikM
- 99T. YordanovF
- 14B. MelnykF
- 1M. KovacsG
- 18K. KormendiM
- 70L. SzorM
- 22A. YougaM
- 6M. OsztrovkaM
- 27J. MesanovicF
- 86S. NovothnyF
- 29B. BiroF
- 21H. SzikszaiM
Form going into MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC
MTK Budapest
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Debreceni VSC28 August 2026
- W2-1Nyiregyhaza22 August 2026
- D1-1away to Ujpest15 August 2026
- L2-3Puskas Academy7 August 2026
- D3-3away to Budapest Honved1 August 2026
Kisvarda FC
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Gyori ETO FC30 August 2026
- D0-0Debreceni VSC23 August 2026
- L1-2away to Nyiregyhaza15 August 2026
- L2-4Ujpest8 August 2026
- W2-0away to Puskas Academy31 July 2026
What these results say
- MTK Budapest scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- MTK Budapest conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 5 matches for MTK Budapest.
- Kisvarda FC failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Kisvarda FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 13 |
| 11 | Kisvarda FC | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC
- 18 April 2026MTK Budapest 2–1 Kisvarda FCNB I
- 24 January 2026Kisvarda FC 2–3 MTK BudapestNB I
- 28 September 2025MTK Budapest 4–0 Kisvarda FCNB I
- 2 April 2024Kisvarda FC 3–2 MTK BudapestMagyar Kupa
- 17 March 2024MTK Budapest 2–1 Kisvarda FCNB I
- 25 November 2023Kisvarda FC 3–1 MTK BudapestNB I
Leading scorers: MTK Budapest and Kisvarda FC
MTK Budapest
GoalsAssists
- G. Jurek71
- Zalán Márk Kerezsi43
Kisvarda FC
No player in NB I's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Kisvarda FC won 2–1 at MTK Budapest. The model had leaned towards a win for MTK Budapest at 43% and given a win for Kisvarda FC 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: M. Matanovic 53' for Kisvarda FC, H. Szikszai 62' for Kisvarda FC, M. Klausz 88' for MTK Budapest.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.