Paks vs Debreceni VSC NB I prediction & result
Final score: Paks 2-4 Debreceni VSC.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Paks, 26% draw, 35% Debreceni VSC — fair odds of 2.56, 3.85 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Paks at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Paks vs Debreceni VSC
Line-ups
- 1A. KovacsikG
- 12G. VasD
- 15C. BelenyesiD
- 30J. SzaboD
- 19K. HorvathM
- 21K. PappM
- 6M. Gyorfi
- 17M. PetoM
- 10Z. HarasztiM
- 4A. LapuF
- 7J. SzalaiF
- 28M. GyetvanG
- 24B. LenzserD
- 14E. SilyeD
- 20M. SimutD
- 8B. BaloghM
- 5B. VecseiM
- 22J. WindeckerM
- 29B. TothF
- 9J. HahnF
- 1P. AndreevG
- 23G. TerczaD
- 2D. SzakalD
- 26A. LangD
- 3A. GuerreroD
- 6B. BoskovicM
- 75D. PataiM
- 24I. EgriM
- 10B. DzsudzsakM
- 97C. DenesM
- 11A. Szendrei
- 12B. ErdelyiG
- 72R. KellerD
- 40D. HermannD
- 66J. JannehM
- 16S. SamperM
- 20M. MacsoM
- 25S. BaldoniF
- 18S. KayeF
- 39B. AdinanyF
Form going into Paks vs Debreceni VSC
Paks
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Nyiregyhaza29 August 2026
- W2-0Ujpest21 August 2026
- L2-3away to Puskas Academy16 August 2026
- D2-2Budapest Honved9 August 2026
- L2-5away to Zalaegerszegi TE3 August 2026
Debreceni VSC
All competitions we cover
- D2-2MTK Budapest28 August 2026
- D0-0away to Kisvarda FC23 August 2026
- D1-1Gyori ETO FC16 August 2026
- L1-5away to FC Copenhagen12 August 2026
- W1-0Nyiregyhaza9 August 2026
What these results say
- Paks scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Paks failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Paks conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Debreceni VSC failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Debreceni VSC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Paks | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | +2 | 20 |
| 4 | Debreceni VSC | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Paks vs Debreceni VSC
- 3 May 2026Paks 5–2 Debreceni VSCNB I
- 7 February 2026Debreceni VSC 1–0 PaksNB I
- 18 October 2025Paks 1–1 Debreceni VSCNB I
- 18 May 2025Debreceni VSC 0–0 PaksNB I
- 22 February 2025Paks 4–3 Debreceni VSCNB I
- 19 October 2024Debreceni VSC 0–5 PaksNB I
Leading scorers: Paks and Debreceni VSC
Paks
GoalsAssists
- M. Pető61
- J. Szalai61
Debreceni VSC
GoalsAssists
- Á. Szendrei62
- B. Dzsudzsák42
- C. Denes33
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Debreceni VSC won 4–2 at Paks. The model had leaned towards a win for Paks at 39% and given a win for Debreceni VSC 35%. The goals: A. Szendrei 6' for Debreceni VSC, A. Szendrei 22' for Debreceni VSC, Z. Haraszti 24' for Paks, A. Guerrero 39' for Debreceni VSC, G. Vas (own goal) 71' for Debreceni VSC, B. Toth 81' for Paks.
How the call on Paks v Debreceni VSC has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 37% / 26% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 39% / 26% / 35%: the biggest move is Paks's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Paks win39%▲ +2
- Draw26%=
- Debreceni VSC win35%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.