Paks vs Debreceni VSC NB I prediction & result
Final score: Paks 2-4 Debreceni VSC.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Paks, 26% draw, 35% Debreceni VSC — fair odds of 2.56, 3.85 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Paks at 39% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Paks vs Debreceni VSC
Paks
- D1-1away to Nyiregyhaza29 August 2026
- W2-0Ujpest21 August 2026
- L2-3away to Puskas Academy16 August 2026
- D2-2Budapest Honved9 August 2026
Debreceni VSC
- D2-2MTK Budapest28 August 2026
- D0-0away to Kisvarda FC23 August 2026
- D1-1Gyori ETO FC16 August 2026
- W1-0Nyiregyhaza9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Paks | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 | Debreceni VSC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Paks vs Debreceni VSC
- 3 May 2026Paks 5–2 Debreceni VSCNB I
- 7 February 2026Debreceni VSC 1–0 PaksNB I
- 18 October 2025Paks 1–1 Debreceni VSCNB I
- 18 May 2025Debreceni VSC 0–0 PaksNB I
- 22 February 2025Paks 4–3 Debreceni VSCNB I
- 19 October 2024Debreceni VSC 0–5 PaksNB I
Leading scorers: Paks and Debreceni VSC
Paks
- J. Szalai6 goals1 assists
- M. Pető3 goals
- Z. Haraszti2 goals2 assists
Debreceni VSC
- Á. Szendrei3 goals2 assists
- B. Dzsudzsák2 goals
- Adrián Guerrero2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.