Regular Season - 13 · 22 November 2026, 11:00 UTC

Veres Rivne vs Bukovyna Premier League prediction

Avangard, Rivne

Our model says: Veres Rivne 0–1 Bukovyna

The model makes it 32% Veres Rivne, 30% draw, 38% Bukovyna — fair odds of 3.13, 3.33 and 2.63.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Expected goals: Veres Rivne 1.07, Bukovyna 1.24.

Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 41%, under 2.5: 59%.

Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,327 settled matches.

Edge to Bukovyna: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published · updated

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Veres Rivne's rating is built from 42 Ukrainian Premier League matches and Bukovyna's from 12, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.

Key facts

  • Veres Rivne are 13th on 9 points from 12 games; Bukovyna are 8th on 13 points from 12 games — Premier League.
  • Veres Rivne have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to Polessya.
  • Bukovyna are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 3-0 win away to Livyi Bereh.
  • Last 5 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 1 draw; the most recent, 1 July 2026, ended Veres Rivne 2–3 Bukovyna.

More Ukrainian Premier League predictions

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Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Veres Rivne vs Bukovyna

47%
Both teams to score
41%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Veres Rivne win Draw Bukovyna win
  1. 1–114%
  2. 0–112%
  3. 0–011%
  4. 1–010%
  5. 1–28%
  6. 0–28%
  7. 2–17%

Scores read Veres Rivne first; the other scorelines share the remaining 30%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Bukovyna at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Veres Rivne vs Bukovyna

Veres Rivne

Premier League

  • L0-2away to Polessya6 November 2026
  • L1-3Chornomorets31 October 2026
  • L0-2Kolos Kovalivka23 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Obolon'-Brovar16 October 2026
  • L0-3Shakhtar Donetsk9 October 2026

Bukovyna

Premier League

  • W3-0away to Livyi Bereh14 November 2026
  • D1-1Kolos Kovalivka8 November 2026
  • D0-0Kryvbas KR25 October 2026
  • L1-4away to Kudrivka17 October 2026
  • D2-2Polessya11 October 2026

What these results say

  • Veres Rivne did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Veres Rivne conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Veres Rivne failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Bukovyna failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Bukovyna scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ukraine Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Veres Rivne12237718-119
8Bukovyna122731113-213

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Veres Rivne

Chance to finish in the bottom four · 66% today

Win 57%
Draw 68%
Defeat 74%

Bukovyna

Chance to finish in the bottom four · 12% today

Win 6%
Draw 12%
Defeat 17%

From our Premier League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Veres Rivne vs Bukovyna

  • 1 July 2026Veres Rivne 2–3 BukovynaFriendlies Clubs
  • 21 March 2025Veres Rivne 2–0 BukovynaFriendlies Clubs
  • 10 November 2019Bukovyna 5–4 Veres RivneDruha Liga - Group A
  • 14 September 2019Veres Rivne 2–0 BukovynaDruha Liga - Group A
  • 19 April 2019Bukovyna 0–0 Veres RivneDruha Liga - Group A

Leading scorers: Veres Rivne and Bukovyna

Veres Rivne

GoalsAssists

  • André Gonçalves22

Bukovyna

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

How the call on Veres Rivne v Bukovyna has moved

First published on 7 Nov at 36% / 31% / 33% (home / draw / away). After 1 update it reads 32% / 30% / 38%: the biggest move is Bukovyna's chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. Veres Rivne win32%▼ −4
  2. Draw30%▼ −1
  3. Bukovyna win38%▲ +5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Veres Rivne Bukovyna
0.44 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.56
1.84 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.5
1.07 Model expected goals (this match) 1.24

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Bukovyna the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.07 expected goals for Veres Rivne against 1.24 for Bukovyna. Veres Rivne's attack/defence rating is 0.44/1.84 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.56/1.5 for Bukovyna.

How the model reaches 38% for Bukovyna to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Bukovyna to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Veres Rivne's ratings add 5 points and Bukovyna's ratings add 5 points, which lands on the published 38%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground36%
  2. Home advantage29%−7
  3. Both sides at this match's level28%−1
  4. Veres Rivne's ratings33%+5
  5. Bukovyna's ratings38%+5

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

Veres RivneBukovyna
12Matches12
2W 3D 7LRecord2W 7D 3L
7 0.6 per gameGoals scored11 0.9 per game
18 1.5 per gameGoals conceded13 1.1 per game
2 of 12Clean sheets6 of 12
6 of 12Failed to score6 of 12
–Penalties scored1 of 1
30 2.5 per gameYellow cards23 1.9 per game
3Red cards0
4-4-2 8×Usual shape4-1-4-1 3×

Veres Rivne at home · Bukovyna away

6Played5
1W 1D 4LRecord1W 1D 3L
5–12Goals for – against4–9
0 of 6Clean sheets2 of 5

League matches only, Premier League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Premier League matches this season: Veres Rivne 12, Bukovyna 12.

Veres Rivne scored 110212
Bukovyna conceded 421322
Bukovyna scored 111312
Veres Rivne conceded 135323

Bukovyna score most often in the 46–60 minute window (3 goals); Veres Rivne have let in 3 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 5 matches, by difficulty

Veres Rivne

  • at Kryvbas KR29 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 21%
  • vs Livyi Bereh5 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 37%
  • vs FC Kharkiv12 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 19%
  • at Dynamo Kyiv27 Feb · Premier Leaguewin 9%
  • vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi6 Mar · Premier Leaguewin 36%

Bukovyna

  • at Shakhtar Donetsk30 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 10%
  • vs Chornomorets5 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 46%
  • at LNZ Cherkasy12 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 20%
  • at Obolon'-Brovar27 Feb · Premier Leaguewin 40%
  • vs Karpaty6 Mar · Premier Leaguewin 29%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.