VfB Stuttgart vs Viking UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: VfB Stuttgart 3-1 Viking.
Before kick-off the model made it 58% VfB Stuttgart, 24% draw, 18% Viking — fair odds of 1.72, 4.17 and 5.56.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Champions League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
VfB Stuttgart at 58%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — VfB Stuttgart vs Viking
Line-ups
- 1F. BredlowG
- 29F. JeltschD
- 24J. ChabotD
- 7M. MittelstadtD
- 21G. PromelM
- 6A. StillerM
- 18J. LewelingF
- 26D. UndavM
- 11B. El KhannoussM
- 10C. FuhrichF
- 9E. DemirovicF
- 33M. FunkG
- 3R. HendriksD
- 2A. Al DakhilD
- 4J. VagnomanD
- 16A. KarazorM
- 47Y. SpaltD
- 44L. SauerF
- 43J. MalangaM
- 17D. PejcinovicF
- 1A. OstboG
- 5H. HeggheimD
- 6G. StensnessD
- 27J. DalandD
- 28K. HaugenD
- 29T. MoiM
- 8J. BellM
- 7K. AskildsenM
- 16H. BjordalF
- 20P. ChristiansenF
- 10Z. TripicF
- 30L. BelkoG
- 3V. VevatneD
- 2H. J. HaugenD
- 24V. AuklendD
- 25H. FalchenerD
- 33J. HansenM
- 15O. VistedM
- 22E. BotheimF
- 26S. Kvia-EgeskogM
Form going into VfB Stuttgart vs Viking
VfB Stuttgart
All competitions we cover
- W4-11. FC Köln4 September 2026
- L1-5away to Bayern München28 August 2026
Viking
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Sandefjord4 September 2026
- W2-1Aalesund30 August 2026
- W3-1Dinamo Zagreb26 August 2026
- D2-2away to Dinamo Zagreb18 August 2026
- L1-2away to Rosenborg14 August 2026
What these results say
- Viking scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Viking conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 5 matches for Viking.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 22 | Viking | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: VfB Stuttgart and Viking
VfB Stuttgart
GoalsAssists
- E. Demirović40
Viking
GoalsAssists
- Z. Tripić43
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
VfB Stuttgart beat Viking 3–1. The model had made a win for VfB Stuttgart its most likely outcome, at 58%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: E. Demirovic 20' for VfB Stuttgart, Z. Tripic 22' for Viking, E. Demirovic 26' for VfB Stuttgart, E. Demirovic 32' for VfB Stuttgart.
How the call on VfB Stuttgart v Viking has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 53% / 26% / 21% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 58% / 24% / 18%: the biggest move is VfB Stuttgart's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- VfB Stuttgart win58%▲ +5
- Draw24%▼ −2
- Viking win18%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.