HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka HNL prediction & result
Final score: HNK Gorica 0-0 HNK Rijeka.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% HNK Gorica, 30% draw, 35% HNK Rijeka — fair odds of 2.86, 3.33 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts HNK Gorica at 35% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
- L0-2away to NK Slaven Belupo22 August 2026
- L1-2HNK Hajduk Split16 August 2026
HNK Rijeka
- W3-2Istra 196123 August 2026
- L0-2away to NK Varazdin16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
HNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: HNK Gorica vs HNK Rijeka
- 23 May 2026HNK Rijeka 2–0 HNK GoricaHNL
- 22 March 2026HNK Gorica 4–0 HNK RijekaHNL
- 21 December 2025HNK Rijeka 1–0 HNK GoricaHNL
- 5 October 2025HNK Gorica 1–3 HNK RijekaHNL
- 4 May 2025HNK Rijeka 2–1 HNK GoricaHNL
- 1 March 2025HNK Gorica 0–0 HNK RijekaHNL
Leading scorers: HNK Gorica and HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
- B. Bogojević3 goals
HNK Rijeka
- D. Adu-Adjei3 goals1 assists
- T. Fruk2 goals3 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.