Widad Témara vs Maghreb Fès Botola Pro prediction & result
Final score: Widad Témara 1-0 Maghreb Fès.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Widad Témara, 33% draw, 36% Maghreb Fès — fair odds of 3.23, 3.03 and 2.78.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Maghreb Fès at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Widad Témara vs Maghreb Fès
Line-ups
- 33Rabie AjlidG
- 20Nizar CherkiD
- 19Z. LabibD
- 34M. BelkaidaM
- 22A. CherradM
- 88F. El KaabaM
- 77Zakaria OulbennaF
- 70Oussama EssabriF
- 9oussama essafiF
- 99Rabie Bounnit
- 10Akram Khouidsi
- 5karim mohamedM
- 21Mohamed BabahF
- 30A. BelcadiD
- 12Brahim El YemlahiG
- 18M. GariD
- 7Tawfieq ijroutenF
- 17Lahcen El KabiriM
- 8Othman SabriM
- 27Ibrahima SagnaF
- 16S. ChihabG
- 5A. ChbaniD
- 2Diogo CalilaD
- 20S. GhedamsiD
- 15A. KhafifiD
- 30H. AfsalM
- 8A. HarmachM
- 6Oussama nourdineM
- 26D. TitusF
- 17A. El MahraouiF
- 9Tshegofatso MabasoF
- 27M. JaouabD
- 13A. RhailiD
- 19A. TahiriM
- 18C. IbayiF
- 12O. ErrahmanyG
- 10A. El FarissiF
- 14A. BrikaM
- 29E. BrijaM
- 7K. BabaF
Form going into Widad Témara vs Maghreb Fès
Widad Témara
Botola Pro
- W3-0away to Moghreb Tetouan24 October 2026
- L0-1Kawkab Marrakech18 October 2026
- L0-1away to FAR Rabat8 October 2026
Maghreb Fès
Botola Pro
- D0-0Renaissance Berkane29 October 2026
- L1-2away to Ittihad Tanger14 October 2026
- D0-0Raja Casablanca8 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Widad Témara | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 6 |
| 6 | Maghreb Fès | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Widad Témara vs Maghreb Fès
- 9 October 2020Maghreb Fès 2–0 Widad TémaraBotola 2
- 4 January 2020Widad Témara 2–1 Maghreb FèsBotola 2
- 13 April 2019Maghreb Fès 1–0 Widad TémaraBotola 2
- 15 December 2018Widad Témara 3–4 Maghreb FèsBotola 2
The result against the call
Widad Témara beat Maghreb Fès 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Maghreb Fès at 36% and given a win for Widad Témara 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Zakaria Oulbenna 13' for Widad Témara.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Widad Témara a 13.5% chance to finish in the bottom four: 0.0% after a win, 8.2% after a draw, 28.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 0.0%, 13.5 points lower than before the match.
For Maghreb Fès the question was the chance to finish in the top two, 12.5% going in: 32.2% after a win, under 1% after a draw, 0.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 0.0%, 12.5 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Botola Pro season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Widad Témara v Maghreb Fès has moved
First published on 20 Oct at 26% / 33% / 41% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 31% / 33% / 36%: the biggest move is Widad Témara's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- Widad Témara win31%▲ +5
- Draw33%=
- Maghreb Fès win36%▼ −5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.