Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra Botola Pro prediction & result
Final score: Ittihad Tanger 1-0 CR Khemis Zemamra.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Ittihad Tanger, 28% draw, 27% CR Khemis Zemamra — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Ittihad Tanger at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra
Form going into Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra
Ittihad Tanger
Botola Pro
- L0-2away to FAR Rabat28 October 2026
- W2-1Maghreb Fès14 October 2026
- L1-2away to Kawkab Marrakech10 October 2026
CR Khemis Zemamra
Botola Pro
- L0-1FUS Rabat25 October 2026
- D2-2away to Renaissance Berkane13 October 2026
- L2-5Hassania Agadir8 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ittihad Tanger | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 16 | CR Khemis Zemamra | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra
- 21 June 2026Ittihad Tanger 1–0 CR Khemis ZemamraBotola Pro
- 8 February 2026CR Khemis Zemamra 1–0 Ittihad TangerBotola Pro
- 23 February 2025CR Khemis Zemamra 2–0 Ittihad TangerBotola Pro
- 23 October 2024Ittihad Tanger 0–1 CR Khemis ZemamraBotola Pro
- 1 June 2024CR Khemis Zemamra 0–1 Ittihad TangerBotola Pro
- 3 January 2024Ittihad Tanger 1–1 CR Khemis ZemamraBotola Pro
The result against the call
Ittihad Tanger beat CR Khemis Zemamra 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Ittihad Tanger at 45%. The goal: ibrahim dieng 77' for Ittihad Tanger.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Ittihad Tanger a 10.3% chance to finish in the bottom four: 0.0% after a win, 5.4% after a draw, 32.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 0.0%, 10.3 points lower than before the match.
For CR Khemis Zemamra the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 97.5% going in: 90.8% after a win, 100.0% after a draw, 100.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 100.0%, 2.5 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Botola Pro season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.