4 November 2026, 20:00 UTC

FAR Rabat vs Raja Casablanca Botola Pro prediction & result

Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah, Rabat
Full time1 – 2

Final score: FAR Rabat 1-2 Raja Casablanca.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% FAR Rabat, 31% draw, 28% Raja Casablanca — fair odds of 2.44, 3.23 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FAR Rabat at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FAR Rabat0%Draw4%Raja Casablanca96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

2'
⚽ismail khafiassist: Adam Ennaffati
17'
Mohamed Boulacsout
⚽youssef fahli alassist: Anas Bach
27'
37'
⚽Adam Ennaffatiassist: ismail khafi
41'
ismail khafi
🔁Nadir Lougmaniout: To Carneiro
46'
Fallou Formose Mendy
53'
62'
🔁Adam Ennaffatiout: Micheal Agbekpornu
🔁Ahmed Hammoudanout: Eddine Jalal Khfiyef El
65'
🔁bola jephte kitambalaout: Mohcine Bouriga
65'
73'
🔁ismail khafiout: Adel Bettaieb
73'
🔁Chemseddine Knaidilout: youness dahmani
🔁Jamal Ech-Chammakhout: Allan Okello
79'
🔁Abdelfettah Hadrafout: S. El Bouchqali
80'
85'
Micheal Agbekpornu
86'
🔁mohamed makaaziout: ishak zidani
87'
🔁Mathias Oyewusiout: Y. Iguiz
90+4'

Match stats — FAR Rabat vs Raja Casablanca

71%Possession29%
19Shots4
10On target2
13Corners1

Line-ups

FAR Rabat 4-3-3
  • 16A. TagnaoutiG
  • 18N. LougmaniF
  • 15M. LouadniD
  • 4Fallou Formose MendyD
  • 23J. Ech-ChammakhD
  • 13M. NdockytF
  • 3A. BachM
  • 40A. HadrafM
  • 7Y. ElfahliF
  • 30J. KitambalaF
  • 11A. HammoudanF
Substitutes
  • 2Tó CarneiroD
  • 9M. BourigaF
  • 6Zinedine DerragM
  • 20S. El BouchqaliM
  • 10J. E. El KhfiyefM
  • 24Y. FaffaF
  • 22M. JemjamiG
  • 26Nabil MarmoukD
  • 14A. OkelloF
Coach: Pedro Soares Gonçalves
Raja Casablanca 4-2-3-1
  • 1El Mehdi Al HarrarG
  • 17A. El AmloudD
  • 5B. ArrassiD
  • 4I. MokademD
  • 3C. KnaidilD
  • 6A. BarkokM
  • 23M. Al MakahasiM
  • 7M. BoulacsoutD
  • 77A. EnnaffatiM
  • 99M. OyewusiF
  • 13B. BenounD
Substitutes
  • 30M. AgbekpornuM
  • 12K. KbiriG
  • 21A. BettaiebF
  • 11Y. DahmaniF
  • 10FelipinhoF
  • 18Y. IguizF
  • 8I. ZidaniD
  • 27Mohammed Abu ZurayqM
Coach: Paco Jémez

Form going into FAR Rabat vs Raja Casablanca

FAR Rabat

Botola Pro

  • D0-0away to CODM Meknès1 November 2026
  • W2-0Ittihad Tanger28 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Hassania Agadir12 October 2026

Raja Casablanca

Botola Pro

  • L0-2away to Renaissance Berkane1 November 2026
  • D1-1Hassania Agadir28 October 2026
  • D1-1away to FUS Rabat13 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Botola Pro table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4FAR Rabat632195+411
3Raja Casablanca733175+212

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FAR Rabat vs Raja Casablanca

  • 30 April 2026FAR Rabat 2–1 Raja CasablancaBotola Pro
  • 17 September 2025Raja Casablanca 0–0 FAR RabatBotola Pro
  • 23 February 2025FAR Rabat 0–0 Raja CasablancaBotola Pro
  • 11 January 2025FAR Rabat 1–1 Raja CasablancaCAF Champions League
  • 26 November 2024Raja Casablanca 0–2 FAR RabatCAF Champions League
  • 22 October 2024Raja Casablanca 0–0 FAR RabatBotola Pro

The result against the call

Raja Casablanca won 2–1 at FAR Rabat. The model had leaned towards a win for FAR Rabat at 41% and given a win for Raja Casablanca 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: ismail khafi 2' for Raja Casablanca, youssef fahli al 27' for FAR Rabat, Adam Ennaffati 37' for Raja Casablanca.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FAR Rabat a 25.5% chance to finish in the top two: 53.2% after a win, 6.9% after a draw, under 1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at under 1%, 25.4 points lower than before the match.

For Raja Casablanca the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 33.3% going in: 0.0% after a win, 32.0% after a draw, 55.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 0.0%, 33.3 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Botola Pro season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on FAR Rabat v Raja Casablanca has moved

First published on 10 Sep at 39% / 28% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 41% / 31% / 28%: the biggest move is Raja Casablanca's chance of winning, down 5 points.

  1. FAR Rabat win41%▲ +2
  2. Draw31%▲ +3
  3. Raja Casablanca win28%▼ −5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.