1 November 2026, 10:00 UTC

FC Isloch Minsk R. vs Slavia Mozyr Premier League prediction & result

SOK Olympijskij, Minsk
Full time3 – 1

Final score: FC Isloch Minsk R. 3-1 Slavia Mozyr.

Before kick-off the model made it 63% FC Isloch Minsk R., 22% draw, 15% Slavia Mozyr — fair odds of 1.59, 4.55 and 6.67.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Isloch Minsk R. at 63%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Isloch Minsk R.97%Draw3%Slavia Mozyr0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

30'
⚽Andrey Solovey
🔁sergi abramishviliout: Godfrey Bitok Stephen
45'
Adeola Junior Adeyemi Olaleye
56'
🔁Maksim Kovalevichout: aleksandr butko
61'
62'
🔁Aleksandr Dzhigeroout: Aleksandr Batichev
62'
🔁Kirill Chernookout: Andrei Shemruk
68'
Ilya Rashchenya
⚽Aleksandr Svirepa (pen)
68'
⚽Aleksandr Svirepa
70'
🔁Adeola Junior Adeyemi Olaleyeout: Nikita·Patsko
73'
🔁Anton Shramchenkoout: Nikita Fadeev
73'
74'
🔁Nikita·Melnikovout: Terentiy Lutsevich
85'
🔁Denis·Fedorenkoout: Anatoliy Yarmolich
🔁Nikita Fadeevout: yuri kravchenko
86'
⚽aleksandr butkoassist: Aleksandr Svirepa
90+3'

Match stats — FC Isloch Minsk R. vs Slavia Mozyr

54%Possession46%
15Shots4
6On target2
7Corners2

Line-ups

FC Isloch Minsk R. 3-4-3
  • 1A. KlimovichG
  • 25A. MakarenkoD
  • 33I. SkrobotovD
  • 22P. ShevchenkoD
  • 99E. YudchitsM
  • 7A. SvirepaM
  • 17S. AbramishviliM
  • 18M. DayyabuM
  • 8A. ShramchenkoF
  • 19Adeola OlaleyeF
  • 23M. KovalevichF
Substitutes
  • 77Y. KravchenkoM
  • 70A. ButkoF
  • 28A. SvirskiyG
  • 11T. MartynovF
  • 10V. KhvashchinskiyF
  • 74M. SachkovskiyM
  • 4Artem ShulunovD
  • 13G. StephenD
  • 15N. PatskoM
Coach: D. Komarovskiy
Slavia Mozyr 4-4-2
  • 16E. AbramovichG
  • 27Pavel ChikidaD
  • 88D. YashinD
  • 18N. MelnikovD
  • 4I. RashchenyaD
  • 49A. DzhigeroM
  • 14D. FedorenkoM
  • 21E. ShevchenkoM
  • 11A. AntilevskiyM
  • 17K. ChernookF
  • 31A. SoloveyF
Substitutes
  • 1K. VeretynskiyG
  • 44T. LutsevichF
  • 9O. BatyshchevM
  • 20I. VerenichF
  • 30V. LikhtinM
  • 19A. DerzhinskiyM
  • 2A. ShemrukD
  • 3Ricky NgatchouD
  • 7N. RomanovF
Coach: I. Bionchik

Form going into FC Isloch Minsk R. vs Slavia Mozyr

FC Isloch Minsk R.

Premier League

  • W1-0ML Vitebsk28 October 2026
  • W6-0away to Naftan24 October 2026
  • W4-2FC Minsk17 October 2026

Slavia Mozyr

Premier League

  • W4-2Torpedo Zhodino25 October 2026
  • W4-2away to Belshina19 October 2026
  • L1-3away to Dinamo Minsk15 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Belarus Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2FC Isloch Minsk R.2818735423+3161
10Slavia Mozyr2897123638-234

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Isloch Minsk R. vs Slavia Mozyr

  • 20 June 2026Slavia Mozyr 0–2 FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League
  • 17 January 2026FC Isloch Minsk R. 0–0 Slavia MozyrFriendlies Clubs
  • 2 August 2025Slavia Mozyr 1–1 FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League
  • 14 March 2025FC Isloch Minsk R. 2–2 Slavia MozyrPremier League
  • 17 August 2024FC Isloch Minsk R. 0–0 Slavia MozyrPremier League
  • 7 April 2024Slavia Mozyr 2–1 FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League

Leading scorers: FC Isloch Minsk R. and Slavia Mozyr

FC Isloch Minsk R.

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 54 league goals as a side.

Slavia Mozyr

GoalsAssists

  • T. Lutsevich21

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Isloch Minsk R. beat Slavia Mozyr 3–1. The model had made a win for FC Isloch Minsk R. its most likely outcome, at 63%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Andrey Solovey 30' for Slavia Mozyr, Aleksandr Svirepa (penalty) 68' for FC Isloch Minsk R., Aleksandr Svirepa 70' for FC Isloch Minsk R., aleksandr butko 90+3' for FC Isloch Minsk R..

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Isloch Minsk R. a 10.6% chance to finish top of the regular season: 13.6% after a win, 2.5% after a draw, 1.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 13.6%, 3 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on FC Isloch Minsk R. v Slavia Mozyr has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 58% / 25% / 17% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 8 updates, it read 63% / 22% / 15%: the biggest move is FC Isloch Minsk R.'s chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. FC Isloch Minsk R. win63%▲ +5
  2. Draw22%▼ −3
  3. Slavia Mozyr win15%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.