Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Wisla Krakow 2-0 Jagiellonia.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Wisla Krakow, 28% draw, 29% Jagiellonia — fair odds of 2.33, 3.57 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Wisla Krakow at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia
Line-ups
- 1M. ŁubikG
- 34R. GigerD
- 6A. UrygaD
- 29D. GrujčićD
- 52J. KrzyżanowskiD
- 41K. DudaM
- 12J. IgbekemeM
- 27É. YouanM
- 7J. ErtlthalerM
- 17M. BožićM
- 9Ángel RodadoF
- 97W. BiedrzyckiD
- 8Marc CarbóM
- 10Frederico DuarteM
- 50M. KutwaD
- 13M. MaisonneuveD
- 23Víctor MeseguerM
- 4R. MikulecD
- 93Bartosz NeugebauerG
- 32Oliwier PlawinskiM
- 50S. AbramowiczG
- 15N. WojtuszekD
- 5Bernardo VitalD
- 44A. KonstantopoulosD
- 20B. WdowikD
- 6T. RomanczukM
- 10J. AgbonifoM
- 11Jesús ImazM
- 19A. KlyngeM
- 7K. SzmytM
- 99N. PrelecF
- 14H. FinndellM
- 72K. JóźwiakM
- 21Sergio LozanoM
- 23Guilherme Manuel Serrão MontóiaD
- 1M. PerchelG
- 2C. PolakD
- 3Dušan StojinovićD
- 17Y. SyllaF
- 32A. ĆirkovićF
Form going into Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia
Wisla Krakow
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Korona Kielce5 September 2026
- W2-0Wieczysta Kraków29 August 2026
- D2-2away to Pogon Szczecin23 August 2026
- L1-2away to Gornik Zabrze16 August 2026
- W2-1Wisla Plock7 August 2026
Jagiellonia
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Slask Wroclaw6 September 2026
- L1-2away to Lech Poznan3 September 2026
- W5-2away to Raków Częstochowa30 August 2026
- W2-1away to FC Iberia 199927 August 2026
- W4-0FC Iberia 199920 August 2026
What these results say
- Wisla Krakow scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Wisla Krakow conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Wisla Krakow.
- Jagiellonia scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Jagiellonia had three goals or more.
- Jagiellonia won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 24 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Wisla Krakow vs Jagiellonia
- 2 April 2025Jagiellonia 1–0 Wisla KrakowSuper Cup
- 7 May 2022Wisla Krakow 0–0 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
- 20 November 2021Jagiellonia 3–1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
- 7 February 2021Wisla Krakow 2–0 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
- 24 August 2020Jagiellonia 1–1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Wisla Krakow and Jagiellonia
Wisla Krakow
GoalsAssists
- Ángel Rodado41
Jagiellonia
GoalsAssists
- N. Prelec42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Wisla Krakow beat Jagiellonia 2–0. The model had made a win for Wisla Krakow its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Angel·Rodado 14' for Wisla Krakow, Angel·Rodado 87' for Wisla Krakow.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.