Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Slask Wroclaw 1-2 Korona Kielce.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Slask Wroclaw, 29% draw, 30% Korona Kielce — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slask Wroclaw at 41% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce
Line-ups
- 1K. NiemczyckiG
- 21A. Timossi AnderssonD
- 33E. MatsenkoD
- 5L. BaD
- 44M. MalecD
- 8Marc LlinaresD
- 77E. ShabaniM
- 17K. LinettyM
- 20G. TomasiewiczM
- 10M. DembéléF
- 11L. MarjanacF
- 3I. ChristodoulouD
- 31H. SliczniakG
- 25M. SzromnikG
- 15J. YriarteM
- 2D. SzalaD
- 19P. BanaszakF
- 88A. CiuckaM
- 4M. DijakovicD
- 9Ieltsin CamõesF
- 1X. DziekońskiG
- 71W. DługoszD
- 23S. RubežićD
- 2A. MosórD
- 6M. PięczekD
- 35Kamil JakubczykM
- 8M. RemacleM
- 18P. HellebrandM
- 32O. LingrF
- 14M. StępińskiF
- 19M. AmeyawF
- 21K. CiszekD
- 9S. DavidoviÄM
- 22M. FaßbenderF
- 86Simon GustafsonM
- 87R. MamlaG
- 11K. MatuszewskiD
- 30C. MenaM
- 10NonoM
- 24B. SmolarczykD
Form going into Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce
Slask Wroclaw
- L1-2away to Jagiellonia6 September 2026
- D1-1away to Legia Warszawa28 August 2026
- D3-3Widzew Łódź22 August 2026
- L1-2away to Zaglebie Lubin15 August 2026
Korona Kielce
- D1-1Wisla Krakow5 September 2026
- W2-0away to Wisla Plock28 August 2026
- D1-1Motor Lublin22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 6 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce
- 12 September 2026Slask Wroclaw 1–2 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
- 22 February 2025Korona Kielce 2–0 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
- 18 August 2024Slask Wroclaw 1–1 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
- 9 December 2023Slask Wroclaw 0–0 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
- 24 July 2023Korona Kielce 1–1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
- 11 February 2023Slask Wroclaw 1–1 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Slask Wroclaw and Korona Kielce
Slask Wroclaw
- P. Samiec-Talar4 goals3 assists
Korona Kielce
- M. Stępiński4 goals
- M. Faßbender3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.