Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 GKS Katowice.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Zaglebie Lubin, 28% draw, 26% GKS Katowice — fair odds of 2.17, 3.57 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Zaglebie Lubin at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice
Line-ups
- 33Z. AlomerovićG
- 5A. ŁawniczakD
- 25M. NalepaD
- 3R. YakubaD
- 16J. ĆorlukaM
- 39F. KocabaM
- 8D. DąbrowskiM
- 6D. ČolinaM
- 44M. RegułaF
- 18F. SzymczakF
- 71K. NowogońskiF
- 20M. DziewiatowskiM
- 30D. HładunG
- 37S. KerkM
- 1J. BurićG
- 26J. KolanM
- 9M. KosidisF
- 19S. ŁyczkoM
- 4D. MichalskiD
- 88M. MlinarićF
- 87G. KobylakG
- 30A. CzerwińskiD
- 4A. JędrychD
- 55Pau RestaD
- 97E. JirkaM
- 68B. WolskiM
- 77M. KowalczykM
- 23M. WasielewskiM
- 15E. MarkovićF
- 17I. ShkurinF
- 27B. NowakF
- 10M. WędrychowskiM
- 7M. WdowiakM
- 22S. MilewskiM
- 19K. ŁukasiakM
- 21Jakub KokosinskiF
- 1M. KikolskiG
- 31S. BartlewiczM
- 26D. RasakM
Form going into Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice
Zaglebie Lubin
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Wieczysta Kraków7 September 2026
- D0-0Pogon Szczecin29 August 2026
- D0-0away to Radomiak Radom23 August 2026
- W2-1Slask Wroclaw15 August 2026
- W3-2away to Raków Częstochowa9 August 2026
GKS Katowice
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Piast Gliwice4 September 2026
- W3-2away to Gornik Zabrze30 August 2026
- W5-0Wisla Plock23 August 2026
- L0-1away to Motor Lublin16 August 2026
- W2-1Hapoel Tel Aviv12 August 2026
What these results say
- Zaglebie Lubin went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- GKS Katowice conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for GKS Katowice had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 23 |
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 20 | +5 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice
- 30 January 2026Zaglebie Lubin 0–2 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
- 28 July 2025GKS Katowice 2–2 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
- 9 March 2025GKS Katowice 1–0 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
- 31 August 2024Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
- 13 July 2024Zaglebie Lubin 1–1 GKS KatowiceFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Zaglebie Lubin and GKS Katowice
Zaglebie Lubin
GoalsAssists
- M. Reguła50
GKS Katowice
GoalsAssists
- I. Shkurin82
- B. Nowak78
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Zaglebie Lubin beat GKS Katowice 2–1. The model had made a win for Zaglebie Lubin its most likely outcome, at 46%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Kamil Nowogonski 42' for Zaglebie Lubin, Michalis Kosidis 78' for Zaglebie Lubin, Arkadiusz Jedrych (penalty) 90+4' for GKS Katowice.
How the call on Zaglebie Lubin v GKS Katowice has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 43% / 29% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 46% / 28% / 26%: the biggest move is Zaglebie Lubin's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Zaglebie Lubin win46%▲ +3
- Draw28%▼ −1
- GKS Katowice win26%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.