KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: KV Mechelen 0-1 Anderlecht.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% KV Mechelen, 32% draw, 36% Anderlecht — fair odds of 3.13, 3.13 and 2.78.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Jupiler Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Anderlecht at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht
Line-ups
- 13Nacho MirásG
- 2L. MarijnissenD
- 44M. EerdhuijzenD
- 3José MarsàD
- 23S. MichezM
- 6F. HammarM
- 26D. PraetM
- 7T. KoudouM
- 30Marco DecherfM
- 28Bouke BoersmaF
- 9M. van BrederodeF
- 20K. CorbanieD
- 11B. BafdiliM
- 29B. AntonioF
- 1O. De WolfG
- 39M. DecoeneM
- 10M. KireevM
- 19M. Lohunanu-MbasiF
- 14B. RamanF
- 17C. Van MeirvenneF
- 26C. CoosemansG
- 79A. MaamarD
- 4G. BianconeD
- 27L. PétrotD
- 6L. AugustinssonD
- 10M. WinklerM
- 30I. KoutsoupiasM
- 55M. KanaM
- 11O. AntmanM
- 21T. BentayebF
- 14D. SikanF
- 19T. AasgaardM
- 8R. AmanéM
- 9M. CvetkoviÄF
- 83T. DegreefM
- 53N. CobiellaM
- 12A. OmobamideleD
- 61J. BethumeM
- 24E. LlansanaM
- 32J. HeekerenG
Form going into KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht
KV Mechelen
All competitions we cover
- L0-4KVC Westerlo5 September 2026
- D2-2away to RAAL La Louvière29 August 2026
- L0-2away to Charleroi22 August 2026
- D3-3Standard Liege16 August 2026
- L0-2away to Gent9 August 2026
Anderlecht
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Genk6 September 2026
- W1-0Kortrijk3 September 2026
- L0-3away to Union St. Gilloise30 August 2026
- W3-0Kairat Almaty27 August 2026
- W3-0away to Kairat Almaty20 August 2026
What these results say
- KV Mechelen did not win any of these 5 matches.
- KV Mechelen conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Anderlecht kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | KV Mechelen | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: KV Mechelen vs Anderlecht
- 17 May 2026Anderlecht 2–2 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
- 18 April 2026KV Mechelen 1–2 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 15 March 2026KV Mechelen 1–0 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 1 November 2025Anderlecht 3–1 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
- 26 January 2025Anderlecht 4–1 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League
The result against the call
Anderlecht won 1–0 at KV Mechelen. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Anderlecht at 36%. The goal: Tawfik Bentayeb 43' for Anderlecht.
How the call on KV Mechelen v Anderlecht has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 37% / 30% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 32% / 32% / 36%: the biggest move is KV Mechelen's chance of winning, down 5 points.
- KV Mechelen win32%▼ −5
- Draw32%▲ +2
- Anderlecht win36%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.