Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island Super League prediction & result
Final score: Wuhan Three Towns 2-2 Qingdao Youth Island.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Wuhan Three Towns, 33% draw, 30% Qingdao Youth Island — fair odds of 2.70, 3.03 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Wuhan Three Towns at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island
Line-ups
- 22Fang JingqiG
- 23Ming TianD
- 2He GuanD
- 11Li AngD
- 4Xu HaofengD
- 50A. LeauteyM
- 18Zhang XiaobinM
- 20Adriano FirminoM
- 10K. BevisM
- 7Gustavo SauerF
- 29J. CadizF
- 31Guo JiayuG
- 28Wang DennyD
- 19Liu YimingD
- 5Li ShenyuanD
- 8Wang JinxianM
- 12Liao ChengjianM
- 15Chen ZhechaoD
- 16Min ZixiM
- 13Zheng KaimuM
- 16H. LiG
- 19Dong YuD
- 5S. MemisevicD
- 2Bruno VianaD
- 22Wang GengruiD
- 28Zhang ChengdongM
- 10N. Da LuzM
- 21Meng JingchaoM
- 8X. ZhangM
- 11DavidsonM
- 9A. YakubuF
- 37Dong HangG
- 36Sun JieD
- 15Wang PengD
- 20He LonghaiM
- 4Lohman ElnizarD
- 33Liu ZhichengD
- 35Nan SongM
- 18B. BraunshtainM
- 31Xie AlexanderM
Form going into Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island
Wuhan Three Towns
All competitions we cover
- W5-1away to Qingdao Jonoon29 August 2026
- D0-0Tianjin Teda22 August 2026
- L2-3SHANGHAI SIPG14 August 2026
- L1-4away to Hangzhou Greentown8 August 2026
Qingdao Youth Island
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Tianjin Teda29 August 2026
- W2-0Shandong Luneng22 August 2026
- D0-0Chongqing Tongliang Long14 August 2026
- D0-0away to Henan Jianye9 August 2026
What these results say
- Wuhan Three Towns failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Wuhan Three Towns scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Wuhan Three Towns conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Qingdao Youth Island went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Qingdao Youth Island had two goals or fewer.
- Qingdao Youth Island failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
China Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 22 |
| 8 | Qingdao Youth Island | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 39 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Wuhan Three Towns and Qingdao Youth Island
Wuhan Three Towns
GoalsAssists
- J. Cádiz226
Qingdao Youth Island
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 32 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Wuhan Three Towns and Qingdao Youth Island drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Wuhan Three Towns at 37% and given a draw 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Davidson 3' for Qingdao Youth Island, K. Bevis 19' for Wuhan Three Towns, K. Bevis 22' for Wuhan Three Towns, Davidson 83' for Qingdao Youth Island. Sent off: Yu Dong (Qingdao Youth Island) 62'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.