5 September 2026, 16:00 UTC

FC Vaduz vs Lausanne Super League prediction & result

Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz
Full time3 – 1

Final score: FC Vaduz 3-1 Lausanne.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% FC Vaduz, 30% draw, 30% Lausanne — fair odds of 2.50, 3.33 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Vaduz at 40% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Vaduz99%Draw1%Lausanne0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Lutfi Dalipiassist: Julian Stark
19'
23'
⚽Levy Neneassist: Florent Mollet
31'
Olivier Custodio
37'
Omar Janneh
45'
🔁Omar Jannehout: Sekou Kone
45'
🔁Papa Souleymane N'Diayeout: Seydou Traore
⚽Milos Cocicassist: Lutfi Dalipi
53'
55'
Theo Bergvall
58'
🔁Brandon Soppyout: Enzo Molebe
⚽Juan Cabreraassist: Lutfi Dalipi
60'
🔁Luca Mackout: Mattia walker
61'
72'
🔁Theo Bergvallout: Koba Koindredi
76'
🔁Nicolas Cozzaout: Dircssi Ngonzo
🔁Juan Cabreraout: Mats Hammerich
81'
🔁Julian Starkout: mischa beeli
87'
🔁Marcel Monsbergerout: Dejan Djokic
87'
🔁Milos Cocicout: Mischa Eberhard
87'
90+2'
Morgan Poaty

Match stats — FC Vaduz vs Lausanne

59%Possession41%
22Shots7
11On target3
7Corners3

Line-ups

FC Vaduz 4-1-2-1-2
  • 25L. SchaffranG
  • 4N. HaslerD
  • 6D. SimaniD
  • 5L. BerishaD
  • 7D. SchwizerD
  • 20L. MackM
  • 17J. StarkM
  • 10Juan CabreraM
  • 28M. ĆoćićM
  • 9M. MonsbergerF
  • 11L. DalipiF
Substitutes
  • 29M. SawadogoD
  • 27N. LangD
  • 18D. KasperF
  • 23M. HammerichM
  • 22M. EberhardM
  • 19D. DjokicF
  • 1B. BüchelG
  • 14M. BeeliD
  • 30Mattia WalkerM
Coach: M. Schneider
Lausanne 4-2-3-1
  • 90M. MastilG
  • 6T. BergvallD
  • 71K. SowD
  • 31N. CozzaD
  • 18M. PoatyD
  • 10O. CustodioM
  • 47Papa Souleymane N'DiayeM
  • 2B. SoppyM
  • 91F. MolletM
  • 77L. NeneM
  • 78Omar JannehF
Substitutes
  • 4É. YoutéD
  • 7A. AjdiniF
  • 11N. Butler-OyedejiF
  • 1T. CastellaG
  • 88K. KoindrediM
  • 80S. KonéM
  • 9E. MolébéF
  • 5D. NgonzoD
  • 17S. TraoreF
Coach: Luka Elsner

Form going into FC Vaduz vs Lausanne

FC Vaduz

  • L1-2away to FC Luzern2 September 2026
  • W5-2Grasshoppers30 August 2026
  • L2-4away to BSC Young Boys23 August 2026

Lausanne

  • D0-0away to FC Thun2 September 2026
  • L2-3FC Zurich29 August 2026
  • L0-1away to FC Luzern22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11FC Vaduz82061719-26
12Lausanne8134711-46

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Vaduz vs Lausanne

  • 5 September 2026FC Vaduz 3–1 LausanneSuper League
  • 23 April 2023FC Vaduz 1–1 LausanneChallenge League
  • 5 March 2023Lausanne 0–0 FC VaduzChallenge League
  • 20 November 2022FC Vaduz 1–0 LausanneChallenge League
  • 28 August 2022Lausanne 3–1 FC VaduzChallenge League
  • 18 April 2021Lausanne 2–1 FC VaduzSuper League

Leading scorers: FC Vaduz and Lausanne

FC Vaduz

  • Juan Cabrera4 goals
  • L. Dalipi3 goals7 assists
  • M. Monsberger3 goals1 assists

Lausanne

No player in Super League's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.