Shandong Luneng vs Sichuan Jiuniu Super League prediction & result
Final score: Shandong Luneng 1-1 Sichuan Jiuniu.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Shandong Luneng, 32% draw, 31% Sichuan Jiuniu — fair odds of 2.70, 3.13 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Shandong Luneng at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Shandong Luneng vs Sichuan Jiuniu
Line-ups
- 1Yu JinyongG
- 33Gao ZhunyiD
- 23P. AlvaroD
- 11Liu YangD
- 28Mijit MewlanM
- 22Y. LiM
- 8Guilherme MadrugaM
- 29Chen PuM
- 7Xie WennengF
- 9CryzanF
- 10V. QazaishviliF
- 14Wang DaleiG
- 36Liu QiweiG
- 35Huang ZhengyuD
- 2Yang RuiqiD
- 3Peng XiaoD
- 15Shi SongchenD
- 37Chen ZeshiM
- 38Memet ImranM
- 34Yin JiaxiM
- 13Peng PengG
- 23Yang YimingD
- 15Yu RuiD
- 3Gabriel XavierD
- 16Tang MiaoM
- 6Yao JunshengM
- 36E. KartsevM
- 20Z. XuanM
- 8T. ChowF
- 10Dai Wai-TsunF
- 11A. AdemiF
- 35Wei MinzheG
- 1J. JiG
- 49H. Zhang
- 2Tian YifanD
- 56Wang YuhengM
- 14Li LongM
- 17Li NingM
- 19Zhang YufengM
- 39Yu MenghuiM
Form going into Shandong Luneng vs Sichuan Jiuniu
Shandong Luneng
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to Shanghai Shenhua28 August 2026
- L0-2away to Qingdao Youth Island22 August 2026
- W3-1Qingdao Jonoon14 August 2026
- W2-1Tianjin Teda9 August 2026
Sichuan Jiuniu
All competitions we cover
- L0-1SHANGHAI SIPG28 August 2026
- D1-1Hangzhou Greentown22 August 2026
- W2-1away to Shenyang Urban15 August 2026
- L0-4away to Beijing Guoan7 August 2026
What these results say
- Shandong Luneng conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Shandong Luneng won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Shandong Luneng scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Sichuan Jiuniu conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Sichuan Jiuniu failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
China Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shandong Luneng | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 60 | 49 | +11 | 47 |
| 11 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 33 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Shandong Luneng and Sichuan Jiuniu
Shandong Luneng
GoalsAssists
- Cryzan209
- V. Qazaishvili1010
Sichuan Jiuniu
GoalsAssists
- Wesley Moraes145
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Shandong Luneng and Sichuan Jiuniu drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Shandong Luneng at 37% and given a draw 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Cryzan 1' for Shandong Luneng, Dai Wai-Tsun 68' for Sichuan Jiuniu. Sent off: Cryzan (Shandong Luneng) 29'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.