Burton Albion sit 15th in the League One on 17 points from 15 matches, having scored 20 and conceded 27. On the model's scale they rate 0.52 in attack and 2.03 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against League One averages of 0.56 and 1.79: about average in attack, below it at the back. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, most recently losing to Milton Keynes Dons 2-6 away. That is 1.13 points a match, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.80 per game across 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats. That leaves them 12 points behind Huddersfield at the top, in a table of 24. Among the 24 rated sides in the division that is the 14th-best attack and the 20th-best defence. They scored in 3 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they host Luton in the League One on 21 November 2026, a match the model gives them 30%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28:12 | +16 | WWWWD | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29:15 | +14 | WDLWW | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford United | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22:11 | +11 | WDWDW | 26 |
| 4 | Luton | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:21 | +6 | WWWWD | 24 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wednesday | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25:14 | +11 | LLDDW | 23 |
| 6 | Plymouth | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | LLWDL | 23 |
| 7 | Reading | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 26:18 | +8 | WWDLL | 22 |
| 8 | Bradford | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | +2 | DWDDL | 22 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 28:22 | +6 | LWWWW | 21 |
| 10 | Cambridge United | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:21 | 0 | WDLDL | 21 |
| 11 | Leicester | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22:19 | +3 | WWLWD | 19 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:18 | +2 | DWWLD | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21:23 | -2 | LWDDW | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | +5 | DWLLW | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20:27 | -7 | DDWLL | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | WLWLD | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | LLDLW | 16 |
| 18 | Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | LLWDW | 14 |
| 19 | Wigan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:23 | -10 | LLWDW | 14 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | LWLDL | 12 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | LLWLL | 12 |
| 22 | Peterborough | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | WDLDL | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | LLLDL | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:33 | -20 | LLDLL | 9 |
- Promotion to Championship
- League One play-offs
- Relegation
Burton Albion sit 15 of 24, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L2-6away to Milton Keynes Dons14 November 2026
- L0-2away to Wycombe31 October 2026
- W2-1Leyton Orient24 October 2026
- D0-0Bradford20 October 2026
- D2-2away to Peterborough17 October 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Burton Albion vs Luton
Burton Albion host Luton at Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent on 21 November 2026, 15:00 UTC. The model makes it 30% Burton Albion, 26% draw and 44% Luton, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2. It projects 1.36 expected goals for Burton Albion against 1.76. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Full preview and model analysis for Burton Albion vs Luton
Recent meetings with Luton
- 21 February 2026Luton 1–1 Burton AlbionLeague One
- 30 August 2025Burton Albion 0–3 LutonLeague One
- 27 April 2019Burton Albion 2–1 LutonLeague One
- 22 December 2018Luton 2–0 Burton AlbionLeague One
- 11 April 2015Luton 0–1 Burton AlbionLeague Two
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Other results that matter to Burton Albion
-
Stockport County v Leyton Orient · 28 November 2026
Burton Albion fans want Leyton Orient to win: that leaves Burton Albion's risk of a bottom-four finish at 17.7%, against 21.0% after a draw (19.4% today).
Stockport County win19.5%+0.1Draw21.0%+1.6Leyton Orient win17.7%−1.7 -
Luton v Cambridge United · 14 November 2026
Burton Albion fans want Cambridge United to win: that leaves Burton Albion's risk of a bottom-four finish at 17.2%, against 20.3% if Luton win (19.4% today).
Luton win20.3%+0.9Draw18.5%−0.9Cambridge United win17.2%−2.2 -
Doncaster v Huddersfield · 26 November 2026
Burton Albion fans want Huddersfield to win: that leaves Burton Albion's risk of a bottom-four finish at 18.8%, against 21.6% if Doncaster win (19.4% today).
Doncaster win21.6%+2.2Draw18.9%−0.5Huddersfield win18.8%−0.6
From our season simulation, reading only the runs in which each result happened. A match is listed when it moves Burton Albion's figure by 2 points or more and both halves of the runs agree on which result helps.