31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC

Wycombe vs Burton Albion League One prediction & result

Adams Park, High Wycombe
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Wycombe 2-0 Burton Albion.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Wycombe, 26% draw, 30% Burton Albion — fair odds of 2.27, 3.85 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Wycombe at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Wycombe99%Draw1%Burton Albion0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Daniel Harvie
12'
⚽Jayden Wareham
21'
Malik Mothersille
23'
38'
Toby Sibbick
45'
🔁Jack Armerout: H. Araujo
⚽Cauley Woodrowassist: Fred Onyedinma
53'
🔁Malik Mothersilleout: Luke Leahy
68'
🔁Cauley Woodrowout: Danny Ings
68'
🔁Jack Grimmerout: Dan Casey
68'
69'
🔁M. O’Mahonyout: Matthew Dennis
69'
🔁Sulyman Kruballyout: Will Collar
82'
🔁Gbemi Arubiout: Kain Adom
82'
🔁Jason Srahaout: Joe Cameron Lewis

Match stats — Wycombe vs Burton Albion

51%Possession49%
16Shots8
5On target2
4Corners5
1.31xG0.87

Goals against chances

Wycombe2 from 1.31 xGmore than the chances were worth
Burton Albion0 from 0.87 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Wycombe 4-2-3-1
  • 23C. HazardG
  • 2J. GrimmerD
  • 26C. TaylorD
  • 45A. HagelskjærD
  • 3D. HarvieD
  • 4J. ScowenM
  • 8C. Boyd-MunceM
  • 44F. OnyedinmaM
  • 12C. WoodrowM
  • 29M. MothersilleM
  • 15J. WarehamF
Substitutes
  • 17D. CaseyD
  • 28Danny IngsF
  • 10L. LeahyM
  • 21Jamie MullinsM
  • 11Silko Amari Otieno ThomasF
  • 33J. WildsmithG
  • 27S. CookD
Coach: T. Hounsell
Burton Albion 3-4-2-1
  • 34C. AddaiG
  • 6T. SibbickD
  • 16C. TiltD
  • 20J. SrahaD
  • 17R. Borges RodriguesM
  • 41Sulyman KruballyM
  • 4K. ChaukeM
  • 3J. ArmerM
  • 9G. ArubiM
  • 8C. WebsterM
  • 10Mark O’MahonyF
Substitutes
  • 24Harvey AraujoD
  • 29Kain AdomF
  • 23Emeka AdeileD
  • 14W. CollarM
  • 19M. DennisF
  • 32J. KeanG
  • 31J. LewisD
Coach: G. Bowyer

Form going into Wycombe vs Burton Albion

Wycombe

League One

  • D1-1away to AFC Wimbledon24 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Cambridge United20 October 2026
  • W2-0Notts County17 October 2026
  • L1-4Luton10 October 2026

Burton Albion

League One

  • W2-1Leyton Orient24 October 2026
  • D0-0Bradford20 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Peterborough17 October 2026

What these results say

  • Wycombe scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Wycombe failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Wycombe conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

League One table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Wycombe134632123-218
15Burton Albion154562027-717

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Wycombe vs Burton Albion

  • 28 February 2026Wycombe 3–0 Burton AlbionLeague One
  • 13 December 2025Burton Albion 0–0 WycombeLeague One
  • 4 March 2025Wycombe 2–0 Burton AlbionLeague One
  • 22 October 2024Burton Albion 2–3 WycombeLeague One
  • 6 January 2024Burton Albion 1–1 WycombeLeague One
  • 19 August 2023Wycombe 0–0 Burton AlbionLeague One

Leading scorers: Wycombe and Burton Albion

Wycombe

GoalsAssists

  • J. Wareham61
  • F. Onyedinma43

Burton Albion

No player in League One's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Wycombe beat Burton Albion 2–0. The model had made a win for Wycombe its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Jayden Wareham 21' for Wycombe, Cauley Woodrow 53' for Wycombe. On expected goals it finished 1.31–0.87.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Wycombe a 8.6% chance to finish in the bottom four: 6.2% after a win, 8.8% after a draw, 10.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 6.2%, 2.4 points lower than before the match.

For Burton Albion the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 5.8% going in: 3.3% after a win, 4.8% after a draw, 7.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 7.1%, 1.3 points higher than before the match.

Read from our League One season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.