Concarneau sit 6th in the Ligue 3 on 20 points from 12 matches, having scored 16 and conceded 11. On the model's scale they rate 0.47 in attack and 1.84 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Ligue 3 averages of 0.49 and 1.99: close to the division's average. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, most recently beating Fleury 91 2-0 at home. That is 1.67 points a match, scoring 1.33 and conceding 0.92 per game across 5 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats. That leaves them 7 points behind La Roche VF at the top, in a table of 18. Among the 18 rated sides in the division that is the 13th-best attack and the 6th-best defence. They scored in 5 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they travel to La Roche VF in the Ligue 3 on 21 November 2026, a match the model gives them 22%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche VF | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 19:10 | +9 | WWLWW | 27 |
| 2 | Rouen | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | LWLWW | 26 |
| 3 | Caen | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 22:15 | +7 | WLWDW | 22 |
| 4 | Versailles | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | +5 | WWWWL | 22 |
| 5 | Amiens | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16:5 | +11 | DWDDW | 20 |
| 6 | Concarneau | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16:11 | +5 | DWDLW | 20 |
| 7 | Cannes | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14:8 | +6 | DWLWL | 18 |
| 8 | Le Puy Foot | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | +3 | LWWDD | 18 |
| 9 | Gobelins | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | WLWDL | 16 |
| 10 | Quevilly | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | DLWLW | 16 |
| 11 | Thionville Lusitanos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | LLLDW | 16 |
| 12 | Fleury 91 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | +2 | LWWDL | 16 |
| 13 | Bastia | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | LDDWL | 15 |
| 14 | Orleans | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | DDLDD | 11 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | WLDLD | 10 |
| 16 | Villefranche | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10:26 | -16 | LLWDL | 8 |
| 17 | Aubagne | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6:19 | -13 | WLLLL | 7 |
| 18 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | DLLLD | 6 |
- Promotion to Ligue 2
- Relegation
Concarneau sit 6 of 18, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W2-0Fleury 917 November 2026
- L1-2away to Rouen31 October 2026
- D1-1Bastia17 October 2026
- W2-1Gobelins3 October 2026
- D1-1away to Bourg-en-bresse 0126 September 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Concarneau vs La Roche VF
Concarneau travel to La Roche VF at Stade Henri-Desgranges, La Roche-sur-Yon on 21 November 2026, 13:45 UTC. The model makes it 22% Concarneau, 26% draw and 52% La Roche VF, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 0.93 expected goals for Concarneau against 1.74. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Full preview and model analysis for Concarneau vs La Roche VF
Other results that matter to Concarneau
-
Orleans v Thionville Lusitanos · 23 November 2026
Concarneau fans want Orleans to win: that leaves Concarneau's chance of a top-six finish at 28.7%, against 25.7% if Thionville Lusitanos win (27.8% today).
Orleans win28.7%+0.9Draw26.8%−1.0Thionville Lusitanos win25.7%−2.1 -
Bastia v Villefranche · 21 November 2026
Concarneau fans want Villefranche to win: that leaves Concarneau's chance of a top-six finish at 29.6%, against 26.8% after a draw (27.8% today).
Bastia win27.3%−0.5Draw26.8%−1.0Villefranche win29.6%+1.8
From our season simulation, reading only the runs in which each result happened. A match is listed when it moves Concarneau's figure by 2 points or more and both halves of the runs agree on which result helps.