3 October 2026, 18:45 UTC

Concarneau vs Gobelins Ligue 3 prediction & result

Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Concarneau 2-1 Gobelins.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Concarneau, 31% draw, 24% Gobelins — fair odds of 2.22, 3.23 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Concarneau at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Concarneau4%Draw94%Gobelins2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

J. Halby
35'
D. Seba
41'
42'
N. Donat
T. Sinquin
45+1'
60'
🔁M. Guendezout: E. Michut
65'
⚽E. Dode
🔁F. Da Silvaout: J. Varvat
68'
🔁L. Goujonout: A. Sidibe
68'
🔁T. Sinquinout: G. Gbelle
73'
S. Janno
74'
77'
E. Dode
⚽A. Sidibe
78'
86'
🔁A. Sidibeout: I. Kone
B. Macon
89'
⚽B. Macon
90+1'

Line-ups

Concarneau
Coach: Stephane Moulin
Gobelins
Coach: Stephane Rossi

Form going into Concarneau vs Gobelins

Concarneau

Ligue 3

  • D1-1away to Bourg-en-bresse 0126 September 2026

Gobelins

Ligue 3

  • W1-0Bastia26 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 3 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Concarneau125521611+520
9Gobelins124441112-116

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Concarneau vs Gobelins

  • 30 April 2026Concarneau 0–0 GobelinsLigue 3
  • 12 December 2025Gobelins 0–0 ConcarneauLigue 3
  • 16 May 2025Gobelins 2–1 ConcarneauLigue 3
  • 16 August 2024Concarneau 2–0 GobelinsLigue 3
  • 14 April 2023Concarneau 3–0 GobelinsLigue 3

The result against the call

Concarneau beat Gobelins 2–1. The model had made a win for Concarneau its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: E. Dode 65' for Gobelins, A. Sidibe 78' for Concarneau, B. Macon 90+1' for Concarneau.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.