On the model's scale they rate 0.59 in attack and 0.88 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better): hard to break down but short of goals. Next they host Bulgaria in the UEFA Nations League on 16 November 2026, a match the model gives them 41%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Estonia vs Bulgaria
Estonia host Bulgaria at A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn on 16 November 2026, 17:00 UTC. The model makes it 41% Estonia, 33% draw and 26% Bulgaria, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.12 expected goals for Estonia against 0.77. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 37% and over 2.5 goals at 29%.
Full preview and model analysis for Estonia vs Bulgaria
Recent meetings with Bulgaria
- 29 September 2026Bulgaria 0–0 EstoniaUEFA Nations League
The last 1 meeting between the two, most recent first.
