On the model's scale they rate 0.97 in attack and 0.96 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better). Next they host San Marino in the UEFA Nations League on 15 November 2026, a match the model gives them 77%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Finland vs San Marino
Finland host San Marino at Bolt Arena, Helsinki on 15 November 2026, 17:00 UTC. The model makes it 77% Finland, 16% draw and 7% San Marino, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0. It projects 2.74 expected goals for Finland against 0.53. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 39% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Full preview and model analysis for Finland vs San Marino
Recent meetings with San Marino
- 26 September 2026San Marino 0–7 FinlandUEFA Nations League
- 20 November 2023San Marino 1–2 FinlandEuro Championship - Qualification
- 19 June 2023Finland 6–0 San MarinoEuro Championship - Qualification
The last 3 meetings between the two, most recent first.
