On the model's scale they rate 0.88 in attack and 0.75 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better): hard to break down but short of goals. Next they travel to Hungary in the UEFA Nations League on 17 November 2026, a match the model gives them 26%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Northern Ireland vs Hungary
Northern Ireland travel to Hungary at Puskás Aréna, Budapest on 17 November 2026, 19:45 UTC. The model makes it 26% Northern Ireland, 33% draw and 41% Hungary, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 0.74 expected goals for Northern Ireland against 1.06. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 35% and over 2.5 goals at 27%.
Full preview and model analysis for Northern Ireland vs Hungary
Recent meetings with Hungary
- 28 September 2026Northern Ireland 0–0 HungaryUEFA Nations League
- 29 March 2022Northern Ireland 0–1 HungaryFriendlies
The last 2 meetings between the two, most recent first.
