Coupe de France predictions

1 match ahead, from 15 November, each with the model's win / draw / win split and most likely score. The clearest favourite: RED Star FC 93, 47% against Gobelins. How the model works.

Sunday 15 November — 1 match

13:00 UTC Gobelins vs RED Star FC 93 — model 25% / 28% / 47%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 4.00 · 3.57 · 2.13. One-sided: RED Star FC 93

Last round: the model's hits and misses

13–14 November: the model called the result of 1 of 3 matches.

Dijon 1–2 Orleans — the model said 70% / 18% / 12%, most likely 2-0: result missed.
Versailles 3–2 Rodez — the model said 39% / 26% / 35%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
Dunkerque 0–3 Quevilly — the model said 65% / 20% / 15%, most likely 2-0: result missed.

Form going in

Each club's latest league results, oldest first.

Gobelins have won 2 of their last 5 (W L W D L); RED Star FC 93 have won 1 of their last 5 (W L L L L).

Against form: in Gobelins vs RED Star FC 93 the model still makes RED Star FC 93 favourites at 47%, although Gobelins come in with the better recent results — it rates each club on its whole season and the level it plays at, not on five matches.