Gobelins
vs
RED Star FC 93
Coupe de France prediction & result
Final score: Gobelins 0-2 RED Star FC 93.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Gobelins, 28% draw, 47% RED Star FC 93 — fair odds of 4.00, 3.57 and 2.13.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Gobelins 0.96, RED Star FC 93 1.51.
Both teams to score: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 45%, under 2.5: 55%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
Other predictions for 15 Nov
Model insights: Gobelins vs RED Star FC 93
Has the model earned this number?
RED Star FC 93 at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Gobelins vs RED Star FC 93
Gobelins
Ligue 3
- L0-1La Roche VF7 November 2026
- D1-1away to Fleury 9131 October 2026
- W3-1Rouen17 October 2026
- L1-2away to Concarneau3 October 2026
- W1-0Bastia26 September 2026
RED Star FC 93
Ligue 2
- L0-1away to Dijon6 November 2026
- L1-4Nancy2 November 2026
- L1-2away to Montpellier26 October 2026
- L0-1Saint Etienne17 October 2026
- W3-2away to Clermont Foot10 October 2026
What these results say
- Gobelins scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Gobelins conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- RED Star FC 93 conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- RED Star FC 93 failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Gobelins and RED Star FC 93 in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Gobelins | Ligue 3 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | RED Star FC 93 | Ligue 2 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 17 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Ligue 3 · Ligue 2
Head-to-head: Gobelins vs RED Star FC 93
- 28 March 2023Gobelins 0–1 RED Star FC 93Ligue 3
- 12 September 2022RED Star FC 93 0–2 GobelinsLigue 3
Leading scorers: Gobelins and RED Star FC 93
Gobelins
No player in Ligue 3's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
RED Star FC 93
GoalsAssists
- D. Durand50
- J. Ikanga A Ngele42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
RED Star FC 93 won 2–0 at Gobelins.
How the call on Gobelins v RED Star FC 93 has moved
First published on 31 Oct at 23% / 27% / 50% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 25% / 28% / 47%: the biggest move is RED Star FC 93's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Gobelins win25%▲ +2
- Draw28%▲ +1
- RED Star FC 93 win47%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives RED Star FC 93 the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.96 expected goals for Gobelins against 1.51 for RED Star FC 93. Gobelins's attack/defence rating is 0.37/1.9 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.66/1.59 for RED Star FC 93.
How the model reaches 47% for RED Star FC 93 to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for RED Star FC 93 to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Gobelins's ratings add 8 points and RED Star FC 93's ratings add 11 points, which lands on the published 47%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- Both sides at this match's level28%−1
- Gobelins's ratings36%+8
- RED Star FC 93's ratings47%+11
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.