League Tables
First League
CSKA Sofia lead on 34 points, 2 ahead of Levski Sofia. The model's chances of finishing first in the regular season: Levski Sofia 40.1%, CSKA Sofia 39.7% and Ludogorets 16.5%, from 10,000 simulations of the 85 matches left. The table as it stands, and where the model expects it to finish. Across all 93 settled predictions in this competition, it has called 53% of results. Projections are final positions, not qualification or relegation. How the model works. Upcoming predictions →
- CSKA Sofia — 34 points from 14 played (10 won, 4 drawn, 0 lost), 32 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +23. Form, oldest first: D W W D W.
- Levski Sofia — 32 points from 13 played (10 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost), 25 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +17. Form, oldest first: D W D W L.
- Ludogorets — 30 points from 13 played (9 won, 3 drawn, 1 lost), 26 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +15. Form, oldest first: W W L W D.
- CSKA 1948 — 29 points from 14 played (9 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 33 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference +17. Form, oldest first: W L W W D.
- Botev Plovdiv — 23 points from 14 played (7 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 23 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: W W L W D.
- Arda Kardzhali — 21 points from 14 played (6 won, 3 drawn, 5 lost), 20 scored, 22 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: D L D W L.
- Spartak Varna — 16 points from 14 played (4 won, 4 drawn, 6 lost), 15 scored, 25 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: L W L L W.
- Slavia Sofia — 14 points from 14 played (2 won, 8 drawn, 4 lost), 9 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: L L D D D.
- Cherno More Varna — 13 points from 14 played (3 won, 4 drawn, 7 lost), 14 scored, 22 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: D L W W D.
- Dunav Ruse — 12 points from 14 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 8 lost), 16 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: D W W L D.
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv — 12 points from 14 played (3 won, 3 drawn, 8 lost), 8 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: D D D L W.
- Septemvri Sofia — 11 points from 14 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 9 lost), 12 scored, 25 conceded, goal difference -13. Form, oldest first: L L L L W.
- Botev Vratsa — 10 points from 14 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 8 lost), 11 scored, 24 conceded, goal difference -13. Form, oldest first: D L D L L.
- Lokomotiv Sofia — 9 points from 14 played (1 won, 6 drawn, 7 lost), 15 scored, 26 conceded, goal difference -11. Form, oldest first: W D D L L.
What moved
Measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed —
not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried
forward rather than restamped. 11 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.
Season projection
Every one of the 85 matches this phase has left,
played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each
side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a
title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those
depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Relegation Group, Championship Group, Conference League Group, and on from there follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-11-14, the last update whose numbers changed.
- Levski Sofia — projected to finish on 58.7 points, from 32 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 40.1% (down 0.1), finishes top four 99.7%, bottom three 0%.
- CSKA Sofia — projected to finish on 58.4 points, from 34 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 39.7% (up 0.1), finishes top four 99.6%, bottom three 0%.
- Ludogorets — projected to finish on 55.1 points, from 30 after 13 played. Finishes top of the regular season 16.5%, finishes top four 98.6%, bottom three 0%.
- CSKA 1948 — projected to finish on 50.6 points, from 29 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 3.8%, finishes top four 91.5%, bottom three 0%.
- Botev Plovdiv — projected to finish on 40.4 points, from 23 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 8.9%, bottom three 0%.
- Arda Kardzhali — projected to finish on 35.8 points, from 21 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 1.6%, bottom three 0.6%.
- Slavia Sofia — projected to finish on 29.3 points, from 14 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 8.8%.
- Spartak Varna — projected to finish on 27.9 points, from 16 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 19.7%.
- Dunav Ruse — projected to finish on 27.1 points, from 12 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 22.2%.
- Cherno More Varna — projected to finish on 26.1 points, from 13 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 28.2%.
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv — projected to finish on 25.5 points, from 12 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 32.9%.
- Botev Vratsa — projected to finish on 22.7 points, from 10 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 57.8%.
- Lokomotiv Sofia — projected to finish on 22 points, from 9 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 62.1%.
- Septemvri Sofia — projected to finish on 21.7 points, from 11 after 14 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 67.7%.
Top scorers
- Frédéric Maciel (CSKA 1948) — 3 goals.
- Bruno Jordão (CSKA Sofia) — 2 goals.
- Elias Franco (CSKA 1948) — 2 goals.
- B. Tekpetey (Ludogorets) — 2 goals.
- Rwan Cruz (Ludogorets) — 1 goal, 2 assists.
- André Filipe Rio Liberal (Septemvri Sofia) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
- B. Karagaren (Arda Kardzhali) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
- S. Delev (Lokomotiv Sofia) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
- I. Budinov (Dunav Ruse) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
- Georg Stojanovski (Spartak Varna) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
- F. Herard (Septemvri Sofia) — 1 goal.
- S. Kovachev (Arda Kardzhali) — 1 goal.
- D. Kostadinov (Lokomotiv Sofia) — 1 goal.
- A. Kabov (Arda Kardzhali) — 1 goal.
- I. Pittas (CSKA Sofia) — 1 goal.
- A. Iliev (CSKA 1948) — 1 goal.
- Andre Alves (Dunav Ruse) — 1 goal.
- A. Dzhamov (Septemvri Sofia) — 1 goal.
- J. Tshitoku (Spartak Varna) — 1 goal.
- C. Meotti (Botev Plovdiv) — 1 goal.
First League: how many points for the top four?
Chance by final points total · 15 November 2026
42 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 47 in nine out of ten.
50 pts99%
47 pts93%
44 pts76%
41 pts48%
38 pts19%
35 pts4%
050%100%
The top four go into the Championship group zone.
First League: how many points to stay up?
Chance by final points total · 15 November 2026
23 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 25 in nine out of ten.
26 pts98%
25 pts92%
24 pts80%
23 pts61%
22 pts39%
21 pts20%
20 pts9%
050%100%
Above the bottom three in the final table.
Head-to-head records
Every recorded meeting between two First League clubs, won-drawn-lost from the first-named side. All head-to-head records.